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Greenwich HS Cardinals (14-4 - 1)

Region: CT Div 1

State: CT

Coach: Erica Gerber

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/05	at Hotchkiss School (11-3)	NE	84.8		L	11-	15		-0.175
4/08	DARIEN (17-4)	CT Div 1	86.4	1	L	10-	12		-0.150
4/10	NORWALK (5-10)	CT Div 2	72.3		W	18-	7		0.000
4/19	RIDGEFIELD (5-11)	CT Div 2	73.2		W	14-	10		0.000
4/22	at Fairfield Warde (7-9)	CT Div 1	75.8		W	20-	14		0.025
4/23	at Staples (7-9)	CT Div 2	74.5		W	14-	7		0.000
4/25	ST. JOSEPH, CT (5-11)	CT Div 2	72.3		W	17-	3		0.000
4/26	at Brien McMahon (11-6)	CT Div 1	79.8	9	W	17-	12		0.175
4/29	at New Canaan (16-5)	CT Div 1	83.1	4	W	16-	13		0.325
5/02	at Danbury (16-5)	CT Div 2	81.3	7	W	18-	11		0.200
5/05	WILTON (18-4)	CT Div 1	84.2	2	T	14-	14	2ot	0.000
5/09	at Trumbull (6-10)	CT Div 2	73.9		W	19-	10		0.000
5/12	at Daniel Hand (15-5)	CT Div 1	79.6	10	W	21-	13		0.100
5/14	at Fairfield Ludlowe (3-13)	CT Div 2	72.2		W	20-	4		0.000
5/15	GREENWICH ACADEMY (21-3)	NE	86.8		W	13-	12		0.325
5/22	vs. Wilton # (18-4)	CT Div 1	84.2	2	L	15-	16	ot	-0.225
5/31	SOUTH WINDSOR (11-6)	CT Div 1	78.1		W	16-	7		0.050
6/02	GLASTONBURY (14-3)	CT Div 1	82.0	6	W	12-	11		0.175
6/04	vs. Wilton # (18-4)	CT Div 1	84.2	2	L	11-	12		-0.225
# Neutral site			77.4						0.60

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/05	A	Hotchkiss School	11-	15	-4	-3		0.93		-1.31
4/08	H	Darien	10-	12	-2	-4		-0.81	1.65
4/10	H	Norwalk	18-	7	11	14	–	-0.81	-3.08
4/19	H	Ridgefield	14-	10	4	12	–––	-0.81	-8.20
4/22	A	Fairfield Warde	20-	14	6	9	–	0.81	-2.93
4/23	A	Staples	14-	7	7	12	––	0.81	-4.75
4/25	H	St. Joseph, CT	17-	3	14	14		-0.81	-0.20
4/26	A	Brien McMahon	17-	12	5	3	+	0.81	2.05
4/29	A	New Canaan	16-	13	3	-3	++	0.81	5.52
5/02	A	Danbury	18-	11	7	2	++	0.81	4.67
5/05	H	Wilton	14-	14	0	-1		-0.81	0.50
5/09	A	Trumbull	19-	10	9	10		0.81	-1.08
5/12	A	Daniel Hand	21-	13	8	6	+	0.81	2.27
5/14	A	Fairfield Ludlowe	20-	4	16	12	+	0.81	3.90
5/15	H	Greenwich Academy	13-	12	1	-3	+	-0.93		3.77
5/22	N	Wilton	15-	16	-1	-1		0.00	0.31
5/31	H	South Windsor	16-	7	9	8		-0.81	0.85
6/02	H	Glastonbury	12-	11	1	3		-0.81	-1.80
6/04	N	Wilton	11-	12	-1	-1		0.00	0.31
									0.00	2.45

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/10	H	Norwalk	18-	7	3.08
4/25	H	St. Joseph, CT	17-	3	0.20
5/14	A	Fairfield Ludlowe	20-	4	-3.90
10-goal correction: -0.03

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	83.		Natl CCR Rank	165
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	83.07		Natl Power Rank	165
Natl SOS Rating	71.69		Natl SOS Rank	346
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.60		Natl Quality Win Rank	362
W-L Pct Rating	0.76		W-L Pct Rank	319
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	14-4		Ave Goal diff (all )	4.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-0.2
Wins/Losses (top 10)	4-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	1.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	6-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	2.9
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	3.0


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