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Great Valley Patriots (19-4)

Region: PA CML-A

State: PA

Coach: Joe Tornetta

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/26	HAVERFORD (8-11)	PA Centrl	81.7		W	20-	6		0.000
3/29	PENNCREST (4-11)	PA Centrl	79.7		W	19-	2		0.000
4/03	at Spring-Ford (13-7)	PA PAC	85.4		W	18-	6		0.075
4/08	MILTON, GA (17-5)	GA A6	80.2		W	16-	6		0.000
4/10	at Unionville (12-8)	PA CML-A	87.5		W	12-	9		0.175
4/11	DOWNINGTOWN WEST (20-3)	PA CML-N	89.8	6	W	19-	16		0.150
4/15	at West Chester Rustin (17-3)	PA CML-A	90.7	3	L	10-	11	ot	-0.250
4/17	WEST CHESTER EAST (4-15)	PA CML-N	79.0		W	17-	4		0.000
4/19	at Downingtown East (16-5)	PA CML-N	87.7		W	14-	4		0.150
4/22	KENNETT (4-12)	PA CML-A	78.4		W	19-	1		0.000
4/23	RADNOR (23-0)	PA Centrl	93.8	1	L	8-	16		-0.200
4/26	vs. Agnes Irwin # (3-10)	PA IAC	81.5		W	19-	3		0.000
5/01	WEST CHESTER RUSTIN (17-3)	PA CML-A	90.7	3	W	13-	8		0.175
5/03	PHOENIXVILLE (11-7)	PA PAC	82.4		W	17-	2		0.000
5/05	at Upper Dublin (15-5)	PA Sub A	86.0		W	17-	4		0.050
5/07	BOYERTOWN AREA (19-4)	PA PAC	89.1	8	W	6-	5		0.125
5/08	at Kennett (4-12)	PA CML-A	78.4		W	24-	5		0.000
5/14	UNIONVILLE (12-8)	PA CML-A	87.5		L	14-	15	ot	-0.400
5/15	at Jenkintown (7-9)	PA Indep	77.2		W	21-	4		0.000
5/21	MARPLE NEWTOWN (6-13)	PA Centrl	79.0		W	25-	9		0.000
5/27	PHOENIXVILLE (11-7)	PA PAC	82.4		W	25-	4		0.000
5/31	vs. Unionville # (12-8)	PA CML-A	87.5		W	13-	6		0.150
6/03	vs. Springfield (DelCo) # (19-3)	PA Centrl	90.7	2	L	11-	13		-0.325
# Neutral site			80.5						-0.12

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/26	H	Haverford	20-	6	14	15		-1.65	-1.44
3/29	H	Penncrest	19-	2	17	17		-1.65	0.40
4/03	A	Spring-Ford	18-	6	12	7	++	1.65	4.62
4/08	H	Milton, GA	16-	6	10	12		-1.68		-1.96
4/10	A	Unionville	12-	9	3	3		1.65	0.49
4/11	H	Downingtown West	19-	16	3	4		-1.65	-0.65
4/15	A	West Chester Rustin	10-	11	-1	0		1.65	-0.71
4/17	H	West Chester East	17-	4	13	17	––	-1.65	-4.11
4/19	A	Downingtown East	14-	4	10	4	++	1.65	5.92
4/22	H	Kennett	19-	1	18	20		-1.65	-1.59
4/23	H	Radnor	8-	16	-8	-2	––	-1.65	-5.55
4/26	N	Agnes Irwin	19-	3	16	12	++	0.00	4.02
5/01	H	West Chester Rustin	13-	8	5	3		-1.65	1.99
5/03	H	Phoenixville	17-	2	15	16		-1.65	-0.65
5/05	A	Upper Dublin	17-	4	13	8	++	1.65	4.98
5/07	H	Boyertown Area	6-	5	1	5	––	-1.65	-4.19
5/08	A	Kennett	24-	5	19	16	+	1.65	2.71
5/14	H	Unionville	14-	15	-1	6	–––	-1.65	-6.82
5/15	A	Jenkintown	21-	4	17	19		1.65	-1.69
5/21	H	Marple Newtown	25-	9	16	17		-1.65	-0.93
5/27	H	Phoenixville	25-	4	21	16	++	-1.65	5.35
5/31	N	Unionville	13-	6	7	4	+	0.00	2.83
6/03	N	Springfield (DelCo)	11-	13	-2	3	––	0.00	-4.98
									0.00	-1.96

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/26	H	Haverford	20-	6	1.44
3/29	H	Penncrest	19-	2	-0.40
4/03	A	Spring-Ford	18-	6	-2.00
4/08	H	Milton, GA	16-	6	1.96
4/17	H	West Chester East	17-	4	4.11
4/19	A	Downingtown East	14-	4	0.00
4/22	H	Kennett	19-	1	1.59
4/26	N	Agnes Irwin	19-	3	-4.02
5/03	H	Phoenixville	17-	2	0.65
5/05	A	Upper Dublin	17-	4	-3.00
5/08	A	Kennett	24-	5	-2.71
5/15	A	Jenkintown	21-	4	1.69
5/21	H	Marple Newtown	25-	9	0.93
5/27	H	Phoenixville	25-	4	-5.35
10-goal correction: -0.22

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	187.		Natl CCR Rank	27
Natl Poll Vote	96.		Natl Poll Rank	26
Natl Power Rating	90.48		Natl Power Rank	27
Natl SOS Rating	77.15		Natl SOS Rank	162
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.12		Natl Quality Win Rank	1328
W-L Pct Rating	0.83		W-L Pct Rank	184
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	19-4		Ave Goal diff (all )	9.5
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-1.5
Wins/Losses (top 10)	3-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-0.3
Wins/Losses (top 20)	8-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	3.5
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	8.7


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