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Green Hope Falcons (13-6)

Region: NC EastState: NCCoach: Chrissy Sibley

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
2/29at Wakefield, NC (12-5)NC East68.5W20-10 0.175  
3/01vs. Myers Park # (13-4)NC West71.05W8- 7 0.225  
3/01at North Mecklenburg (8-9)NC West65.0W13- 4 0.100  
3/10at East Chapel Hill (14-4)NC E Cen74.63L3-10 -0.150  
3/11at Enloe (7-7)NC East65.5W16- 5 0.150  
3/14at Western Guilford (12-5)NC W Cen68.6W8- 5 0.250  
3/18MIDDLE CREEK (5-9)NC East63.3W15- 5 0.075  
3/25PANTHER CREEK (3-12)NC East60.5W18- 2 0.000  
4/10EAST CHAPEL HILL (14-4)NC E Cen74.63L4-10 -0.175  
4/11at Athens Drive (3-11)NC East61.2W13- 8 0.000  
4/14APEX (19-3)NC East79.61L3-20 -0.075  
4/18CHAPEL HILL (13-8)NC E Cen69.29W14-12 0.175  
4/19at Middle Creek (5-9)NC East63.3W11- 6 0.075  
4/22CARY (0-10)NC East57.8W14- 5 0.000  
4/25at Apex (19-3)NC East79.61L11-17 -0.050  
4/29at Broughton (14-3)NC East70.96L7-10 -0.275  
5/05WAKEFIELD, NC (12-5)NC East68.5W17-12 0.150  
5/09at Myers Park (13-4)NC West71.05W18-12 0.250  
5/15at Apex (19-3)NC East79.61L5-13 -0.050  
# Neutral site 69.2     0.85  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
2/29AWakefield, NC20-1010   3       +++0.39       6.73
3/01NMyers Park8-71   1       0.00       0.42
3/01ANorth Mecklenburg13-49   6       +0.39       2.67
3/10AEast Chapel Hill3-10-7   -4       0.39       -3.04
3/11AEnloe16-511   4       +++0.39       7.43
3/14AWestern Guilford8-53   0       +0.39       3.21
3/18HMiddle Creek15-510   7       +-0.39       2.64
3/25HPanther Creek18-216   15       -0.39       1.32
4/10HEast Chapel Hill4-10-6   -3       -0.39       -2.81
4/11AAthens Drive13-85   10       ––0.39       -4.91
4/14HApex3-20-17   -7       –––-0.39       -9.50
4/18HChapel Hill14-122   3       -0.39       -0.82
4/19AMiddle Creek11-65   7       0.39       -1.59
4/22HCary14-59   16       –––-0.39       -7.10
4/25AApex11-17-6   -8       +0.39       2.27
4/29ABroughton7-10-3   1       0.39       -3.93
5/05HWakefield, NC17-125   4       -0.39       0.95
5/09AMyers Park18-126   0       ++0.39       5.80
5/15AApex5-13-8   -8       0.39       0.27
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
2/29AWakefield, NC20-100.00
3/11AEnloe16-5-1.00
3/18HMiddle Creek15-50.00
3/25HPanther Creek18-2-1.32
4/14HApex3-207.00
10-goal correction: 0.25

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 71.   Natl CCR Rank 906
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 71.35   Natl Power Rank 906
Natl SOS Rating 58.70   Natl SOS Rank 1240
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.85   Natl Quality Win Rank 225
W-L Pct Rating 0.68   W-L Pct Rank 513
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 13-6   Ave Goal diff (all ) 2.4
Wins/Losses (top 5) 2-5   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -5.3
Wins/Losses (top 10) 3-6   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -4.2
Wins/Losses (top 20) 7-6   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -0.7
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 1.0



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