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Guilford, CT Indians (13-8)

Region: CT Div 1

State: CT

Coach: Cliff Yerkes

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/02	at Norwich Free Acad (7-8)	CT Div 1	69.9		W	17-	8		0.050
4/05	GLASTONBURY (14-3)	CT Div 1	82.0	6	L	7-	14		-0.100
4/08	MERCY, CT (9-10)	CT Div 1	73.2		W	18-	8		0.150
4/10	at Hamden (12-7)	CT Div 1	74.5		W	11-	6		0.200
4/12	BROOKFIELD, CT (15-5)	CT Div 1	78.0		L	16-	17	ot	-0.225
4/14	DANIEL HAND (15-5)	CT Div 1	79.6	10	L	7-	11		-0.200
4/17	at Mercy, CT (9-10)	CT Div 1	73.2		W	11-	9		0.175
4/22	SHELTON (0-16)	CT Div 2	60.5		W	14-	3		0.000
4/24	at Sacred Heart Acad, CT (5-11)	CT Div 2	66.5		W	16-	9		0.000
4/29	EAST LYME (15-3)	CT Div 1	79.6		L	10-	12		-0.175
5/01	at Amity (6-10)	CT Div 2	72.7		W	13-	7		0.175
5/06	at Cheshire HS (11-8)	CT Div 1	76.0		L	10-	17		-0.225
5/08	BRANFORD (6-11)	CT Div 1	73.1		W	14-	9		0.175
5/12	at Hall, West Hartford (16-1)	CT Div 1	82.3	5	L	7-	18		-0.025
5/13	at West Haven (6-10)	CT Div 2	68.6		W	10-	6		0.050
5/15	AMITY (6-10)	CT Div 2	72.7		W	17-	8		0.150
5/20	AMITY (6-10)	CT Div 2	72.7		W	7-	6		0.150
5/22	at Cheshire HS (11-8)	CT Div 1	76.0		W	14-	13		0.275
5/27	vs. Daniel Hand # (15-5)	CT Div 1	79.6	10	L	10-	15		-0.175
5/29	JOEL BARLOW (9-8)	CT Div 1	74.2		W	17-	6		0.150
5/31	at Darien (17-4)	CT Div 1	86.4	1	L	6-	21		0.000
# Neutral site			71.2						0.58

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/02	A	Norwich Free Acad	17-	8	9	8		0.81	1.33
4/05	H	Glastonbury	7-	14	-7	-6		-0.81	-0.56
4/08	H	Mercy, CT	18-	8	10	4	++	-0.81	5.56
4/10	A	Hamden	11-	6	5	2	+	0.81	2.76
4/12	H	Brookfield, CT	16-	17	-1	-1		-0.81	-0.17
4/14	H	Daniel Hand	7-	11	-4	-2	–	-0.81	-2.11
4/17	A	Mercy, CT	11-	9	2	3		0.81	-0.83
4/22	H	Shelton	14-	3	11	15	––	-0.81	-4.27
4/24	A	Sacred Heart Acad, CT	16-	9	7	10	–	0.81	-3.07
4/29	H	East Lyme	10-	12	-2	-3		-0.81	0.56
5/01	A	Amity	13-	7	6	3	+	0.81	3.43
5/06	A	Cheshire HS	10-	17	-7	-1	–––	0.81	-6.46
5/08	H	Branford	14-	9	5	3	+	-0.81	2.21
5/12	A	Hall, West Hartford	7-	18	-11	-9	–	0.81	-2.23
5/13	A	West Haven	10-	6	4	8	–	0.81	-3.71
5/15	H	Amity	17-	8	9	4	++	-0.81	4.82
5/20	H	Amity	7-	6	1	4	–	-0.81	-3.18
5/22	A	Cheshire HS	14-	13	1	-1		0.81	1.54
5/27	N	Daniel Hand	10-	15	-5	-3	–	0.00	-2.30
5/29	H	Joel Barlow	17-	6	11	4	+++	-0.81	7.17
5/31	A	Darien	6-	21	-15	-15		0.81	-0.49
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/08	H	Mercy, CT	18-	8	0.00
4/22	H	Shelton	14-	3	4.27
5/12	A	Hall, West Hartford	7-	18	1.00
5/29	H	Joel Barlow	17-	6	-1.00
5/31	A	Darien	6-	21	0.49
10-goal correction: 0.23

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	77.		Natl CCR Rank	458
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	76.80		Natl Power Rank	458
Natl SOS Rating	61.74		Natl SOS Rank	995
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.58		Natl Quality Win Rank	379
W-L Pct Rating	0.62		W-L Pct Rank	694
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	13-8		Ave Goal diff (all )	1.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-13.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-8.8
Wins/Losses (top 20)	1-8		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-5.7
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-3.0


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