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Guilderland Flying Dutchmen (22-1)

Conference: ARegion: NY A Sec 2State: NYCoach: Gary Chatnik

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
4/01at Bethlehem (9-9)NY A Sec 280.95W13- 7 0.075  
4/03vs. Niskayuna # (15-6)NY B Sec 283.33W14- 5 0.100  
4/05at Lakeland-Panas (14-4)NY A Sec 183.7W10- 5 0.125  
4/07at Ballston Spa (1-12)NY A Sec 266.8W25- 2 0.000  
4/09SHAKER (16-5)NY A Sec 284.32W13- 5 0.050  
4/11at Saratoga Springs (10-8)NY A Sec 281.14W16- 8 0.100  
4/14COLONIE (3-10)NY A Sec 273.4W16- 0 0.000  
4/16at Shenendehowa (6-12)NY A Sec 274.79W19- 6 0.000  
4/18COLUMBIA, NY (5-7)NY A Sec 274.410W21- 5 0.000  
4/22BETHLEHEM (9-9)NY A Sec 280.95W18- 6 0.025  
4/24at Niskayuna (15-6)NY B Sec 283.33W16- 8 0.125  
4/26NANUET (18-3)NY C Sec 183.4W16- 8 0.050  
4/30at Shaker (16-5)NY A Sec 284.32W19- 7 0.100  
5/02AVERILL PARK (12-7)NY B Sec 276.87W18- 2 0.000  
5/05SARATOGA SPRINGS (10-8)NY A Sec 281.14W12- 7 0.050  
5/07at Burnt Hills-Ballston L (4-14)NY B Sec 272.6W16- 2 0.000  
5/08SHENENDEHOWA (6-12)NY A Sec 274.79W19- 3 0.000  
5/19SCHENECTADY (1-7)NY A Sec 272.9W23- 2 0.000  
5/21BETHLEHEM (9-9)NY A Sec 280.95W17- 6 0.025  
5/29vs. Shaker # (16-5)NY A Sec 284.32W18-10 0.075  
6/04vs. Lakeland-Panas # (14-4)NY A Sec 183.7W13- 4 0.100  
6/08vs. Kingston # (16-5)NY A Sec 974.1W19- 3 0.000  
6/13vs. Farmingdale # (17-3)NY A Sec 893.0L10-16 -0.175  
# Neutral site 78.9     0.82  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
4/01ABethlehem13-76   7       1.03       -0.92
4/03NNiskayuna14-59   6       +0.00       2.57
4/05ALakeland-Panas10-55   5       1.25       0.09
4/07ABallston Spa25-223   26       –1.03       -3.03
4/09HShaker13-58   8       -1.03       0.38
4/11ASaratoga Springs16-88   6       +1.03       2.04
4/14HColonie16-016   21       ––-1.03       -4.63
4/16AShenendehowa19-613   14       1.03       -0.57
4/18HColumbia, NY21-516   18       -1.03       -1.53
4/22HBethlehem18-612   9       +-1.03       3.02
4/24ANiskayuna16-88   5       +1.03       2.60
4/26HNanuet16-88   8       -1.25       0.24
4/30AShaker19-712   6       +++1.03       6.44
5/02HAverill Park18-216   15       -1.03       1.05
5/05HSaratoga Springs12-75   8       –-1.03       -3.02
5/07ABurnt Hills-Ballston L16-214   21       –––1.03       -6.97
5/08HShenendehowa19-316   16       -1.03       0.37
5/19HSchenectady23-221   22       -1.03       -1.23
5/21HBethlehem17-611   9       +-1.03       2.02
5/29NShaker18-108   7       0.00       1.41
6/04NLakeland-Panas13-49   6       +0.00       2.84
6/08NKingston19-316   16       0.00       0.20
6/13NFarmingdale10-16-6   -3       –0.00       -2.93
         0.000.44

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/07ABallston Spa25-23.03
4/14HColonie16-04.63
4/16AShenendehowa19-60.57
4/18HColumbia, NY21-51.53
4/22HBethlehem18-6-2.00
4/30AShaker19-7-2.00
5/02HAverill Park18-2-1.05
5/07ABurnt Hills-Ballston L16-26.97
5/08HShenendehowa19-3-0.37
5/19HSchenectady23-21.23
5/21HBethlehem17-6-1.00
6/08NKingston19-3-0.20
10-goal correction: 0.49

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 186.   Natl CCR Rank 31
Natl Poll Vote 96.   Natl Poll Rank 29
Natl Power Rating 89.90   Natl Power Rank 34
Natl SOS Rating 74.26   Natl SOS Rank 245
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.82   Natl Quality Win Rank 232
W-L Pct Rating 0.96   W-L Pct Rank 31
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 22-1   Ave Goal diff (all ) 11.0
Wins/Losses (top 5) 10-0   Ave Goal diff (top 5) 8.7
Wins/Losses (top 10) 14-0   Ave Goal diff (top 10) 10.6
Wins/Losses (top 20) 17-0   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 11.7
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 6.3



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