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Heritage Pride (7-7)

Region: VA NW AA

State: VA

Coach: Nicole McCarthy

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/13	at Brentsville District (3-10)	VA NW AA	65.4		W	9-	6		0.200
3/25	LOUDOUN VALLEY (16-5)	VA NW AAA	80.8	8	L	6-	14		-0.025
3/31	at Culpeper County (2-7)	VA NW AAA	65.7		W	9-	7		0.200
4/03	at Potomac Falls (10-4)	VA NW AA	73.6		L	7-	13		-0.125
4/07	LOUDOUN COUNTY (8-4)	VA NW AA	72.8		L	8-	13		-0.225
4/10	GEORGE MASON (7-7)	VA NW AA	68.6		W	16-	8		0.175
4/14	FAIRFAX (3-8)	VA Cncrd	68.0		W	11-	6		0.150
4/17	PARK VIEW (0-8)	VA NW AA	59.7		W	17-	7		0.000
4/24	at Dominion (7-8)	VA NW AA	70.2		L	7-	13		-0.175
4/26	at Briar Woods (5-7)	VA NW AA	68.2		L	7-	13		-0.200
4/28	BROAD RUN (15-5)	VA NW AA	79.9	9	L	5-	15		-0.075
5/01	at Freedom-South Riding (0-11)	VA NW AA	63.4		W	10-	9		0.175
5/08	at Loudoun County (8-4)	VA NW AA	72.8		W	15-	13		0.375
5/15	vs. Potomac Falls # (10-4)	VA NW AA	73.6		L	10-	11		-0.175
# Neutral site			72.4						0.28

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/13	A	Brentsville District	9-	6	3	2		2.28	1.17
3/25	H	Loudoun Valley	6-	14	-8	-9		-2.28	1.06
3/31	A	Culpeper County	9-	7	2	2		2.28	0.33
4/03	A	Potomac Falls	7-	13	-6	-5		2.28	-0.66
4/07	H	Loudoun County	8-	13	-5	-1	––	-2.28	-4.11
4/10	H	George Mason	16-	8	8	3	++	-2.28	4.92
4/14	H	Fairfax	11-	6	5	4		-2.28	1.49
4/17	H	Park View	17-	7	10	13	–	-2.28	-2.74
4/24	A	Dominion	7-	13	-6	-3	–	2.28	-2.65
4/26	A	Briar Woods	7-	13	-6	-2	–	2.28	-3.75
4/28	H	Broad Run	5-	15	-10	-7	–	-2.28	-2.64
5/01	A	Freedom-South Riding	10-	9	1	3		2.28	-1.94
5/08	A	Loudoun County	15-	13	2	-5	+++	2.28	7.46
5/15	N	Potomac Falls	10-	11	-1	-3	+	0.00	2.06
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/17	H	Park View	17-	7	2.74
4/28	H	Broad Run	5-	15	0.00
10-goal correction: 0.20

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	70.		Natl CCR Rank	1003
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	69.60		Natl Power Rank	1003
Natl SOS Rating	63.46		Natl SOS Rank	877
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.28		Natl Quality Win Rank	659
W-L Pct Rating	0.50		W-L Pct Rank	1061
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	7-7		Ave Goal diff (all )	-0.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-9.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-9.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	0.7


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