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Nat'l CCR Nat'l Poll Computer Rating Strength of Schedule Nat'l Quality Wins W-L Pct

Conference Standings Games/Scores Upsets Accuracy

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Herndon Hornets (5-6)

Region: VA CncrdState: VACoach: Lindsay Welch

DateOpponentConferencePRTop 10Score QWF
3/13SOUTH LAKES (0-10)VA Lbrty63.8W13- 3 0.000  
3/18at Regis Jesuit (8-8)CO Contin77.7L7-12 -0.175  
3/19at Cherry Creek Club (10-3)CO Indep76.8L5- 6 -0.200  
3/26OAKTON (11-5)VA Cncrd85.13L5-10 -0.125  
3/28at Westfield, VA (12-6)VA Cncrd79.3L9-11 -0.150  
4/01at J.E.B. Stuart (0-9)VA Natl57.3W20- 1 0.000  
4/08at Robinson Secondary (12-4)VA Cncrd82.66W12-11 0.425  
4/16at Fairfax (3-8)VA Cncrd68.0W20- 7 0.050  
4/23CHANTILLY (17-3)VA Cncrd85.92L9-21 -0.150  
4/24CENTREVILLE (2-8)VA Cncrd66.9W15- 4 0.000  
5/01at Oakton (11-5)VA Cncrd85.13L7-15 -0.025  
 75.7     -0.35  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/13HSouth Lakes13-310   16       ––-2.28       -5.61
3/18ARegis Jesuit7-12-5   -3       1.55       -2.38
3/19ACherry Creek Club5-6-1   -2       1.55       0.75
3/26HOakton5-10-5   -5       -2.28       -0.10
3/28AWestfield, VA9-11-2   -4       +2.28       2.02
4/01AJ.E.B. Stuart20-119   20       2.28       -0.99
4/08ARobinson Secondary12-111   -7       +++2.28       7.57
4/16AFairfax20-713   8       ++2.28       5.37
4/23HChantilly9-21-12   -4       –––-2.28       -8.19
4/24HCentreville15-411   13       -2.28       -1.52
5/01AOakton7-15-8   -9       2.28       1.46
         0.00-1.63

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/13HSouth Lakes13-35.61
4/01AJ.E.B. Stuart20-10.99
4/16AFairfax20-7-3.00
4/23HChantilly9-212.00
4/24HCentreville15-41.52
10-goal correction: 0.65

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 77.   Natl CCR Rank 474
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 76.63   Natl Power Rank 474
Natl SOS Rating 69.37   Natl SOS Rank 477
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.35   Natl Quality Win Rank 1681
W-L Pct Rating 0.45   W-L Pct Rank 1145
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 5-6   Ave Goal diff (all ) 1.9
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-3   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -8.3
Wins/Losses (top 10) 1-3   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -6.0
Wins/Losses (top 20) 1-4   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -5.2
Wins/Losses (last 3) 1-2   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -3.0



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