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Hoggard Vikings (11-3)

Region: NC SE

State: NC

Coach: Erin Redmond

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
2/29	LOOKOUT CLUB (0-5)	NC SE	54.3		W	13-	0		0.000
3/07	at Athens Drive (3-11)	NC East	61.2			-
3/11	at Ashley (8-7)	NC SE	65.8		W	14-	10		0.225
3/15	CARRBORO (4-11)	NC E Cen	61.3		W	16-	7		0.050
3/15	WAKEFIELD, NC (12-5)	NC East	68.5		L	10-	12		-0.275
3/18	at New Hanover (1-10)	NC SE	58.6		W	13-	2		0.000
3/25	at Laney (8-7)	NC SE	64.6		L	9-	10		-0.400
3/29	PROVIDENCE HS, NC (14-6)	NC SW	68.0		W	12-	9		0.225
4/01	LANEY (8-7)	NC SE	64.6		W	12-	6		0.100
4/04	NEW HANOVER (1-10)	NC SE	58.6		W	14-	0		0.000
4/14	VICTOR (14-5)	NY B Sec 5	78.9		L	4-	18		-0.025
4/15	CAPE FEAR ACADEMY (8-8)	NC SE	66.9		W	6-	5		0.225
4/19	at Chapel Hill (13-8)	NC E Cen	69.2	9	W	13-	6		0.275
4/25	at Cape Fear Academy (8-8)	NC SE	66.9		W	11-	7		0.250
4/30	at Ashley (8-7)	NC SE	65.8		W	15-	13	ot	0.225
			64.3						0.88

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/29	H	Lookout Club	13-	0	13	19	–––	-0.39	-6.14
3/11	A	Ashley	14-	10	4	1	+	0.39	2.71
3/15	H	Carrboro	16-	7	9	8		-0.39	1.34
3/15	H	Wakefield, NC	10-	12	-2	1	–	-0.39	-3.28
3/18	A	New Hanover	13-	2	11	13	–	0.39	-2.03
3/25	A	Laney	9-	10	-1	6	–––	0.39	-6.72
3/29	H	Providence HS, NC	12-	9	3	1		-0.39	1.65
4/01	H	Laney	12-	6	6	6		-0.39	-0.49
4/04	H	New Hanover	14-	0	14	14		-0.39	0.20
4/14	H	Victor	4-	18	-14	-9	––	-0.58		-5.31
4/15	H	Cape Fear Academy	6-	5	1	1		-0.39	0.28
4/19	A	Chapel Hill	13-	6	7	-1	+++	0.39	7.72
4/25	A	Cape Fear Academy	11-	7	4	0	++	0.39	4.05
4/30	A	Ashley	15-	13	2	1		0.39	0.71
									0.00	-5.31

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
2/29	H	Lookout Club	13-	0	6.14
3/18	A	New Hanover	13-	2	2.03
4/04	H	New Hanover	14-	0	-0.20
4/14	H	Victor	4-	18	4.00
10-goal correction: 0.86

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	69.		Natl CCR Rank	1022
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	69.62		Natl Power Rank	1022
Natl SOS Rating	52.08		Natl SOS Rank	1790
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.88		Natl Quality Win Rank	217
W-L Pct Rating	0.79		W-L Pct Rank	261
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	11-3		Ave Goal diff (all )	4.1
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	1-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	7.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	6-1		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	2.7
Wins/Losses (last 3)	3-0		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	4.3


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