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Horseheads Blue Raiders (6-8)

Region: NY B Sec 4

State: NY

Coach: John Thomas

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/28	at Vestal (3-12)	NY B Sec 4	73.7	8	L	10-	11		-0.250
4/02	at Union-Endicott (11-6)	NY B Sec 4	75.9	4	L	9-	13		-0.200
4/09	SETON CATHOLIC CENTRAL (2-11)	NY C Sec 4	72.3	10	W	18-	3		0.000
4/11	BINGHAMTON (15-4)	NY A Sec 4	77.6	1	L	10-	12		-0.175
4/14	MAINE-ENDWELL (5-11)	NY B Sec 4	73.9	7	W	8-	2		0.175
4/16	CORNING WEST (10-6)	NY A Sec 4	75.4	5	W	8-	6		0.250
4/23	CORNING EAST (14-7)	NY C Sec 4	76.8	3	L	11-	15		-0.225
4/25	at Binghamton (15-4)	NY A Sec 4	77.6	1		-
4/29	at Owego Free Academy (5-8)	NY C Sec 4	73.2	9	W	11-	3		0.125
5/02	at Maine-Endwell (5-11)	NY B Sec 4	73.9	7	L	7-	8	ot	-0.300
5/05	at Chenango Forks (0-11)	NY C Sec 4	71.1		W	17-	1		0.000
5/07	at Ithaca (13-8)	NY A Sec 4	77.1	2	L	9-	12		-0.125
5/09	VESTAL (3-12)	NY B Sec 4	73.7	8	W	8-	7		0.200
5/13	at Binghamton (15-4)	NY A Sec 4	77.6	1	L	5-	13		-0.125
5/28	MAINE-ENDWELL (5-11)	NY B Sec 4	73.9	7	L	7-	8		-0.325
			72.4						-0.98

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/28	A	Vestal	10-	11	-1	0		0.93	-1.27
4/02	A	Union-Endicott	9-	13	-4	-2		0.93	-1.76
4/09	H	Seton Catholic Central	18-	3	15	10	++	-0.93	4.56
4/11	H	Binghamton	10-	12	-2	-3		-0.93	0.82
4/14	H	Maine-Endwell	8-	2	6	3	+	-0.93	2.55
4/16	H	Corning West	8-	6	2	0		-0.93	1.93
4/23	H	Corning East	11-	15	-4	-1	–	-0.93	-2.82
4/29	A	Owego Free Academy	11-	3	8	5	+	0.93	2.68
5/02	A	Maine-Endwell	7-	8	-1	2	–	0.93	-2.58
5/05	A	Chenango Forks	17-	1	16	13	+	0.93	3.23
5/07	A	Ithaca	9-	12	-3	-5		0.93	1.57
5/09	H	Vestal	8-	7	1	2		-0.93	-1.14
5/13	A	Binghamton	5-	13	-8	-5	–	0.93	-3.31
5/28	H	Maine-Endwell	7-	8	-1	3	––	-0.93	-4.45
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/09	H	Seton Catholic Central	18-	3	-4.56
5/05	A	Chenango Forks	17-	1	-3.23
10-goal correction: -0.56

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	74.		Natl CCR Rank	638
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	74.23		Natl Power Rank	638
Natl SOS Rating	63.33		Natl SOS Rank	885
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.98		Natl Quality Win Rank	2234
W-L Pct Rating	0.43		W-L Pct Rank	1211
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	6-8		Ave Goal diff (all )	1.7
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-5		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-3.2
Wins/Losses (top 10)	5-8		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	0.6
Wins/Losses (top 20)	6-8		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	1.7
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-2.7


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