| Region: CT Div 1 | State: CT | Coach: Joe Caruso |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
4/03 | A | New Canaan | 2- | 21 | -19 | -15 | –– | 0.81 | -4.22 | |
4/05 | H | Branford | 7- | 12 | -5 | 0 | –– | -0.81 | -4.77 | |
4/08 | A | Immaculate | 16- | 10 | 6 | 0 | ++ | 0.81 | 5.98 | |
4/10 | A | New Milford | 11- | 16 | -5 | -3 | – | 0.81 | -2.09 | |
4/14 | A | Danbury | 6- | 18 | -12 | -10 | – | 0.81 | -2.06 | |
4/15 | H | Weston, CT | 21- | 7 | 14 | 10 | + | -0.81 | 3.52 | |
4/17 | A | Newtown | 9- | 21 | -12 | -9 | – | 0.81 | -2.80 | |
4/22 | H | Brookfield, CT | 17- | 20 | -3 | -4 | | -0.81 | 0.86 | |
4/23 | A | Ridgefield | 10- | 9 | 1 | -2 | + | 0.81 | 2.69 | |
4/24 | H | New Fairfield | 18- | 6 | 12 | 7 | ++ | -0.81 | 4.98 | |
5/02 | A | Pomperaug | 14- | 14 | 0 | -1 | | 0.81 | 0.63 | |
5/05 | A | Masuk | 13- | 5 | 8 | 3 | ++ | 0.81 | 4.54 | |
5/10 | A | Bethel | 18- | 9 | 9 | 9 | | 0.81 | -0.06 | |
5/12 | H | Notre Dame Catholic | 19- | 4 | 15 | 13 | | -0.81 | 1.60 | |
5/13 | H | Lauralton Hall | 10- | 6 | 4 | 4 | | -0.81 | 0.13 | |
5/20 | H | Pomperaug | 13- | 12 | 1 | 1 | | -0.81 | 0.02 | |
5/22 | A | Newtown | 7- | 18 | -11 | -9 | | 0.81 | -1.80 | |
5/29 | A | Guilford, CT | 6- | 17 | -11 | -4 | ––– | 0.81 | -7.17 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
4/03 | A | New Canaan | 2- | 21 | 4.22 |
4/14 | A | Danbury | 6- | 18 | 2.00 |
4/15 | H | Weston, CT | 21- | 7 | -3.52 |
4/17 | A | Newtown | 9- | 21 | 2.00 |
4/24 | H | New Fairfield | 18- | 6 | -2.00 |
5/12 | H | Notre Dame Catholic | 19- | 4 | -1.60 |
5/22 | A | Newtown | 7- | 18 | 1.00 |
5/29 | A | Guilford, CT | 6- | 17 | 1.00 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.17 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 74. | | Natl CCR Rank | 645 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 74.19 | | Natl Power Rank | 645 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 58.79 | | Natl SOS Rank | 1230 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.43 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 497 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.53 | | W-L Pct Rank | 959 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 9-8 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | -0.4 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -19.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -13.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 0-7 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -10.4 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -7.0 |
|
