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John Carroll School Patriots (18-0)

Region: MD IAAM A

State: MD

Coach: K. Porchella

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/26	at Severn School (12-6)	MD IAAM A	92.4	3	W	10-	9		0.150
3/27	at Fallston (9-6)	MD 3A	85.6		W	15-	5		0.000
3/28	MERCY, MD (4-11)	MD IAAM A	84.6		W	14-	5		0.000
3/28	at North Harford (9-8)	MD 2A	83.7		W	17-	7		0.000
3/31	at Bryn Mawr SG (9-7)	MD IAAM A	89.6	7	W	10-	8		0.125
4/02	at McDonogh School (18-3)	MD IAAM A	95.6	2	W	14-	9		0.200
4/05	vs. Mt. Hebron # (12-5)	MD 3A	89.7		W	18-	9		0.025
4/09	at Mount de Sales (8-10)	MD IAAM A	86.2		W	16-	7		0.000
4/14	NOTRE DAME PREP, MD (13-7)	MD IAAM A	91.2	4	W	16-	7		0.125
4/16	SETON KEOUGH (3-13)	MD IAAM A	82.5		W	14-	4		0.000
4/17	MARYVALE PREP (5-11)	MD IAAM A	86.9	10	W	17-	2		0.000
4/18	ROLAND PARK COUNTRY (7-7)	MD IAAM A	89.3	8	W	17-	8		0.075
4/21	ARCHBISHOP SPALDING (13-6)	MD IAAM A	90.9	5	W	18-	4		0.075
4/23	ST. PAUL'S SG, MD (7-12)	MD IAAM A	87.2	9	W	16-	4		0.025
4/25	at St. Mary's, MD (13-8)	MD IAAM A	90.7	6	W	13-	9		0.150
5/06	ST. PAUL'S SG, MD (7-12)	MD IAAM A	87.2	9	W	12-	11		0.025
5/08	NOTRE DAME PREP, MD (13-7)	MD IAAM A	91.2	4	W	14-	12	ot	0.125
5/10	vs. McDonogh School # (18-3)	MD IAAM A	95.6	2	W	11-	6		1.175
# Neutral site			91.2						2.27

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/26	A	Severn School	10-	9	1	4	–	0.54	-3.01
3/27	A	Fallston	15-	5	10	12	–	0.77		-2.29
3/28	H	Mercy, MD	14-	5	9	11		-0.54	-1.85
3/28	A	North Harford	17-	7	10	14	––	0.77		-4.28
3/31	A	Bryn Mawr SG	10-	8	2	5	–	0.54	-3.47
4/02	A	McDonogh School	14-	9	5	2	+	0.54	2.81
4/05	N	Mt. Hebron	18-	9	9	9		0.00		-0.04
4/09	A	Mount de Sales	16-	7	9	10		0.54	-0.86
4/14	H	Notre Dame Prep, MD	16-	7	9	5	+	-0.54	3.59
4/16	H	Seton Keough	14-	4	10	15	––	-0.54	-4.62
4/17	H	Maryvale Prep	17-	2	15	11	++	-0.54	4.47
4/18	H	Roland Park Country	17-	8	9	7		-0.54	1.87
4/21	H	Archbishop Spalding	18-	4	14	7	+++	-0.54	7.24
4/23	H	St. Paul's SG, MD	16-	4	12	9	+	-0.54	3.22
4/25	A	St. Mary's, MD	13-	9	4	4		0.54	-0.47
5/06	H	St. Paul's SG, MD	12-	11	1	9	–––	-0.54	-7.78
5/08	H	Notre Dame Prep, MD	14-	12	2	5	–	-0.54	-3.41
5/10	N	McDonogh School	11-	6	5	3	+	0.00	2.27
									0.00	-6.61

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/27	A	Fallston	15-	5	2.29
3/28	A	North Harford	17-	7	4.28
4/16	H	Seton Keough	14-	4	4.62
4/17	H	Maryvale Prep	17-	2	-4.47
4/21	H	Archbishop Spalding	18-	4	-4.00
4/23	H	St. Paul's SG, MD	16-	4	-2.00
10-goal correction: 0.04

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	199.		Natl CCR Rank	1
Natl Poll Vote	100.		Natl Poll Rank	2
Natl Power Rating	98.70		Natl Power Rank	1
Natl SOS Rating	97.97		Natl SOS Rank	6
Natl Quality Win Rating	2.27		Natl Quality Win Rank	11
W-L Pct Rating	1.00		W-L Pct Rank	10
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	18-0		Ave Goal diff (all )	7.6
Wins/Losses (top 5)	6-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	6.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	12-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	6.6
Wins/Losses (top 20)	15-0		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	7.1
Wins/Losses (last 3)	3-0		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	2.7


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