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Key School Obezags (8-10)

Region: MD IAAM C

State: MD

Coach: Renee Mercurio

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/14	at Sts. Peter & Paul (12-4)	MD EESIAC	82.4		L	2-	20		0.000
3/17	TOWSON CATHOLIC (2-12)	MD IAAM C	62.0	6	W	12-	2		0.050
3/18	ROCKBRIDGE ACAD, MD (2-5)	MD CALL	63.4		L	8-	10		-0.425
3/25	BETH T'FILOH (5-8)	MD IAAM C	66.9	5	W	10-	6		0.150
3/28	at St. Vincent Pallotti (13-4)	MD IAAM C	75.9	2	L	7-	12		-0.025
3/31	at Baltimore Lutheran (16-3)	MD IAAM C	77.2	1	L	3-	14		-0.050
4/03	CATHOLIC HIGH, BALTIMO (11-4)	MD IAAM C	73.0	3	L	8-	10		-0.225
4/09	MOUNT CARMEL, MD (1-18)	MD IAAM C	58.9	7	W	10-	1		0.000
4/14	at Towson Catholic (2-12)	MD IAAM C	62.0	6	W	10-	6		0.125
4/16	ST. VINCENT PALLOTTI (13-4)	MD IAAM C	75.9	2	L	11-	16		-0.100
4/18	BALTIMORE LUTHERAN (16-3)	MD IAAM C	77.2	1	W	16-	15		0.400
4/22	MOUNT CARMEL, MD (1-18)	MD IAAM C	58.9	7	W	10-	1		0.000
4/23	at Catholic High, Baltimo (11-4)	MD IAAM C	73.0	3	L	4-	10		-0.150
4/25	at Indian Creek School, M (8-3)	MD CALL	66.1		L	5-	8		-0.250
4/30	at Mount Carmel, MD (1-18)	MD IAAM C	58.9	7	W	18-	3		0.000
5/02	at Beth T'Filoh (5-8)	MD IAAM C	66.9	5	L	0-	1		-0.275
5/06	BETH T'FILOH (5-8)	MD IAAM C	66.9	5	W	14-	6		0.150
5/08	at Baltimore Lutheran (16-3)	MD IAAM C	77.2	1	L	2-	19		-0.050
			69.1						-0.68

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/14	A	Sts. Peter & Paul	2-	20	-18	-16		1.87		-1.80
3/17	H	Towson Catholic	12-	2	10	8		-1.48	1.63
3/18	H	Rockbridge Acad, MD	8-	10	-2	7	–––	-1.87		-8.59
3/25	H	Beth T'Filoh	10-	6	4	4		-1.48	-0.04
3/28	A	St. Vincent Pallotti	7-	12	-5	-9	+	1.48	3.96
3/31	A	Baltimore Lutheran	3-	14	-11	-8	–	1.48	-2.53
4/03	H	Catholic High, Baltimo	8-	10	-2	-1		-1.48	-0.63
4/09	H	Mount Carmel, MD	10-	1	9	13	–	-1.48	-3.73
4/14	A	Towson Catholic	10-	6	4	5		1.48	-1.42
4/16	H	St. Vincent Pallotti	11-	16	-5	-6		-1.48	1.00
4/18	H	Baltimore Lutheran	16-	15	1	-6	+++	-1.48	6.51
4/22	H	Mount Carmel, MD	10-	1	9	13	–	-1.48	-3.73
4/23	A	Catholic High, Baltimo	4-	10	-6	-4		1.48	-1.68
4/25	A	Indian Creek School, M	5-	8	-3	0	–	1.87		-3.15
4/30	A	Mount Carmel, MD	18-	3	15	10	++	1.48	5.23
5/06	H	Beth T'Filoh	14-	6	8	4	+	-1.48	3.96
5/08	A	Baltimore Lutheran	2-	19	-17	-8	–––	1.48	-8.53
									0.00	-13.54

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/14	A	Sts. Peter & Paul	2-	20	1.80
3/17	H	Towson Catholic	12-	2	0.00
3/31	A	Baltimore Lutheran	3-	14	1.00
4/30	A	Mount Carmel, MD	18-	3	-5.23
5/08	A	Baltimore Lutheran	2-	19	7.00
10-goal correction: 0.27

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	68.		Natl CCR Rank	1123
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	68.10		Natl Power Rank	1123
Natl SOS Rating	58.98		Natl SOS Rank	1209
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.68		Natl Quality Win Rank	2079
W-L Pct Rating	0.44		W-L Pct Rank	1160
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	8-10		Ave Goal diff (all )	-0.5
Wins/Losses (top 5)	3-7		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-3.7
Wins/Losses (top 10)	8-7		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	1.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	8-7		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	1.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	2.0


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