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Kinkaid School Falcons (12-13)

Region: TX South

State: TX

Coach: Martha Brousseau

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
2/21	at Kingwood Club (White) (1-12)	TX South	62.8		W	9-	3		0.075
2/26	KINGWOOD (BLUE) (12-5)	TX South	74.5	9	W	8-	7		0.275
2/28	at Klein (8-10)	TX South	68.7		L	6-	7		-0.325
3/04	BELLAIRE (7-6)	TX South	73.2		L	8-	13		-0.250
3/10	EPISCOPAL, HOUSTON (13-4)	TX Indep	77.8	4	L	9-	11		-0.150
3/12	CY-FAIR (14-4)	TX South	77.7	5	L	7-	9		-0.150
3/14	at Coronado (23-2)	CA CIF S	84.4		L	1-	12		0.000
3/14	at Torrey Pines (17-7)	CA CIF S	78.7		L	5-	13		-0.025
3/15	at La Jolla CDS (1-13)	CA CIF S	64.6		W	11-	2		0.125
3/15	at San Dieguito Academy (6-13)	CA CIF S	67.8		L	4-	10		-0.300
3/25	WESTCHESTER-STRATFORD (0-13)	TX South	61.1		W	15-	4		0.000
3/28	at Clear Lake (4-10)	TX South	68.2		W	11-	6		0.200
4/01	MEMORIAL, HOUSTON (18-4)	TX South	78.1	3	L	6-	7		-0.175
4/05	vs. Bowie, TX # (4-8)	TX Cen D1	65.6		W	13-	11		0.075
4/05	at St. Andrew's Episcopal (10-9)	TX Cen D1	70.0		W	9-	7		0.225
4/08	at St. John's, TX (21-3)	TX South	82.5	2	L	3-	14		0.000
4/10	at Lamar (6-11)	TX South	69.2		W	11-	7		0.250
4/15	THE WOODLANDS (6-9)	TX South	69.6		L	10-	11		-0.350
4/21	vs. Westchester-Stratford # (0-13)	TX South	61.1		W	16-	4		0.025
4/23	LAMAR (6-11)	TX South	69.2		W	9-	6		0.175
4/26	vs. Klein # (8-10)	TX South	68.7		W	8-	6		0.150
5/01	vs. Episcopal, Dallas # (15-6)	TX North	75.8	6	W	9-	8	3ot	0.325
5/01	vs. St. John's, TX # (21-3)	TX South	82.5	2	L	6-	16		0.000
5/02	vs. Episcopal, Houston # (13-4)	TX Indep	77.8	4	L	5-	13		-0.125
5/10	vs. Ursuline Academy, TX # (16-8)	TX North	73.9	10	L	8-	9		-0.225
# Neutral site			73.6						-0.18

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/21	A	Kingwood Club (White)	9-	3	6	7		1.58	-1.07
2/26	H	Kingwood (Blue)	8-	7	1	-1		-1.58	1.63
2/28	A	Klein	6-	7	-1	3	–	1.58	-3.62
3/04	H	Bellaire	8-	13	-5	0	––	-1.58	-4.50
3/10	H	Episcopal, Houston	9-	11	-2	-4		-1.58	1.82
3/12	H	Cy-Fair	7-	9	-2	-4		-1.58	1.85
3/14	A	Coronado	1-	12	-11	-14	+	1.25		3.47
3/14	A	Torrey Pines	5-	13	-8	-9		1.25		0.76
3/15	A	La Jolla CDS	11-	2	9	5	+	1.25		3.69
3/15	A	San Dieguito Academy	4-	10	-6	2	–––	1.25		-8.12
3/25	H	Westchester-Stratford	15-	4	11	11		-1.58	0.03
3/28	A	Clear Lake	11-	6	5	2	+	1.58	3.46
4/01	H	Memorial, Houston	6-	7	-1	-3	+	-1.58	2.06
4/05	N	Bowie, TX	13-	11	2	7	––	0.00	-4.78
4/05	A	St. Andrew's Episcopal	9-	7	2	1		1.58	1.24
4/08	A	St. John's, TX	3-	14	-11	-11		1.58	0.31
4/10	A	Lamar	11-	7	4	0	++	1.58	4.40
4/15	H	The Woodlands	10-	11	-1	4	––	-1.58	-4.75
4/21	N	Westchester-Stratford	16-	4	12	9	+	0.00	2.61
4/23	H	Lamar	9-	6	3	3		-1.58	0.25
4/26	N	Klein	8-	6	2	4	–	0.00	-2.20
5/01	N	Episcopal, Dallas	9-	8	1	-3	++	0.00	4.34
5/01	N	St. John's, TX	6-	16	-10	-10		0.00	-0.27
5/02	N	Episcopal, Houston	5-	13	-8	-5	–	0.00	-2.61
5/10	N	Ursuline Academy, TX	8-	9	-1	-1		0.00	-0.20
									0.00	-0.20

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/14	A	Coronado	1-	12	-3.47
3/25	H	Westchester-Stratford	15-	4	-0.03
4/08	A	St. John's, TX	3-	14	-0.31
4/21	N	Westchester-Stratford	16-	4	-2.00
5/01	N	St. John's, TX	6-	16	0.00
10-goal correction: -0.23

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	71.		Natl CCR Rank	910
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	71.15		Natl Power Rank	910
Natl SOS Rating	65.44		Natl SOS Rank	715
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.18		Natl Quality Win Rank	1494
W-L Pct Rating	0.48		W-L Pct Rank	1067
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	12-13		Ave Goal diff (all )	-0.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-6		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-5.7
Wins/Losses (top 10)	2-7		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-3.7
Wins/Losses (top 20)	7-10		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-1.4
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-6.3


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