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Kinnelon Colts (6-12)

Region: NJ Indep

State: NJ

Coach: Katie Kelly

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/01	at Immaculate Heart, NJ (12-7)	NJ Stars	77.7		L	9-	11		-0.100
4/03	at Glen Rock (7-12)	NJ Indep	69.2		W	13-	9		0.250
4/05	at Mountain Lakes (17-4)	NJ Stars	83.3		L	10-	15		-0.025
4/08	at Morris Catholic (9-10)	NJ Indep	69.3		L	11-	13		-0.275
4/10	at Montclair HS (12-8)	NJ Stars	76.5		L	8-	13		-0.100
4/12	at Newark Academy, NJ (6-11)	NJ CJ Lgn	68.3			-
4/15	RIDGEWOOD (17-4)	NJ Stars	83.4		L	4-	15		-0.075
4/17	POPE JOHN XXIII (1-19)	NJ Indep	63.2		W	14-	8		0.050
4/19	MONTCLAIR KIMBERLEY (5-15)	NJ Indep	68.3		L	19-	20	2ot	-0.350
4/23	VERNON TOWNSHIP (14-7)	NJ Indep	74.6		W	9-	8		0.200
4/24	at Pequannock Township (6-7)	NJ Indep	63.4		W	13-	4		0.050
4/26	at Chatham (23-3)	NJ Iron	90.2	3	L	6-	18		0.000
4/29	VERONA, NJ (13-8)	NJ Indep	74.9		L	16-	17	ot	-0.250
4/30	MOUNTAIN LAKES (17-4)	NJ Stars	83.3		L	10-	17		-0.100
5/02	at Glen Ridge (10-10)	NJ Stars	72.1		L	13-	16	ot	-0.175
5/05	MONTCLAIR HS (12-8)	NJ Stars	76.5		W	11-	10		0.300
5/07	at Ridgewood (17-4)	NJ Stars	83.4		L	2-	16		0.000
5/09	at Montclair Kimberley (5-15)	NJ Indep	68.3		W	14-	7		0.250
5/14	IMMACULATE HEART, NJ (12-7)	NJ Stars	77.7		L	8-	14		-0.200
			80.7						-0.55

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/01	A	Immaculate Heart, NJ	9-	11	-2	-6	+	1.82	3.85
4/03	A	Glen Rock	13-	9	4	0	+	1.82	3.93
4/05	A	Mountain Lakes	10-	15	-5	-9	++	1.82	4.37
4/08	A	Morris Catholic	11-	13	-2	1	–	1.82	-3.05
4/10	A	Montclair HS	8-	13	-5	-6		1.82	0.65
4/15	H	Ridgewood	4-	15	-11	-7	––	-1.82	-4.22
4/17	H	Pope John XXIII	14-	8	6	8		-1.82	-1.60
4/19	H	Montclair Kimberley	19-	20	-1	4	––	-1.82	-5.03
4/23	H	Vernon Township	9-	8	1	2		-1.82	-0.76
4/24	A	Pequannock Township	13-	4	9	8		1.82	1.08
4/26	A	Chatham	6-	18	-12	-14		1.82	1.73
4/29	H	Verona, NJ	16-	17	-1	0		-1.82	-1.47
4/30	H	Mountain Lakes	10-	17	-7	-6		-1.82	-1.26
5/02	A	Glen Ridge	13-	16	-3	-3		1.82	-0.48
5/05	H	Montclair HS	11-	10	1	-2	+	-1.82	3.02
5/07	A	Ridgewood	2-	16	-14	-10	–	1.82	-3.59
5/09	A	Montclair Kimberley	14-	7	7	0	+++	1.82	6.60
5/14	H	Immaculate Heart, NJ	8-	14	-6	-2	–	-1.82	-3.78
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/15	H	Ridgewood	4-	15	1.00
4/26	A	Chatham	6-	18	-1.73
5/07	A	Ridgewood	2-	16	4.00
10-goal correction: 0.18

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	70.		Natl CCR Rank	993
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	70.17		Natl Power Rank	993
Natl SOS Rating	77.17		Natl SOS Rank	160
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.55		Natl Quality Win Rank	1928
W-L Pct Rating	0.33		W-L Pct Rank	1425
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	6-12		Ave Goal diff (all )	-2.3
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-12.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-12.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-9.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-4.3


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