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John F. Kennedy, MD Cavaliers (2-9)

Region: MD 3A

State: MD

Coach: Tracey Herling

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/01	SENECA VALLEY, MD (3-11)	MD 3A	66.9		W	13-	11		0.275
4/03	at Walter Johnson (8-6)	MD 4A	75.3		L	8-	17		0.000
4/08	PAINT BRANCH (6-5)	MD 3A	73.6		L	5-	10		-0.100
4/10	at Montgomery Blair, MD (9-4)	MD 4A	75.8		L	9-	21		0.000
4/12	at Springbrook (2-9)	MD 4A	65.8		L	6-	8		-0.175
4/15	SHERWOOD, MD (10-5)	MD 4A	77.9		L	8-	22		0.000
4/18	BLAKE, MD (12-3)	MD 4A	77.8		L	4-	18		0.000
4/24	at Watkins Mill (4-9)	MD 3A	68.6		L	8-	18		-0.175
4/28	at Northwood, MD (1-12)	MD	55.7		W	13-	2		0.025
4/30	WHEATON (3-6)	MD 3A	62.6			-
5/03	at Poolesville (12-2)	MD 1A	77.0		L	4-	14		0.000
5/06	NORTHWEST (3-6)	MD 3A	71.9			-
5/08	at Tuscarora (3-11)	MD 1A	66.9		L	5-	7		-0.200
			68.2						-0.35

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/01	H	Seneca Valley, MD	13-	11	2	-1	+	-0.99	2.63
4/03	A	Walter Johnson	8-	17	-9	-11		0.99	1.97
4/08	H	Paint Branch	5-	10	-5	-6		-0.99	0.84
4/10	A	Montgomery Blair, MD	9-	21	-12	-10		0.99	-1.64
4/12	A	Springbrook	6-	8	-2	-3		0.99	0.59
4/15	H	Sherwood, MD	8-	22	-14	-14		-0.99	0.14
4/18	H	Blake, MD	4-	18	-14	-11	–	-0.99	-2.79
4/24	A	Watkins Mill	8-	18	-10	-3	–––	0.99	-6.53
4/28	A	Northwood, MD	13-	2	11	9	+	0.99	2.29
5/03	A	Poolesville	4-	14	-10	-12	+	0.99	2.29
5/08	A	Tuscarora	5-	7	-2	-2		0.99	0.21
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/10	A	Montgomery Blair, MD	9-	21	2.00
4/15	H	Sherwood, MD	8-	22	-0.14
4/18	H	Blake, MD	4-	18	2.79
4/24	A	Watkins Mill	8-	18	0.00
4/28	A	Northwood, MD	13-	2	-1.00
5/03	A	Poolesville	4-	14	-2.29
10-goal correction: 0.12

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	65.		Natl CCR Rank	1426
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	65.34		Natl Power Rank	1426
Natl SOS Rating	57.18		Natl SOS Rank	1343
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.35		Natl Quality Win Rank	1667
W-L Pct Rating	0.18		W-L Pct Rank	1757
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	2-9		Ave Goal diff (all )	-5.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (2nd 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 20)
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-0.3


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