| Region: FL Dist 4 | State: FL | Coach: K. Shellhammer |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
2/04 | VERO BEACH (20-2) | FL Dist 8 | 90.3 | 1 | L | 8- | 21 | | -0.050 |
2/07 | BARTRAM TRAIL (14-3) | FL Dist 2 | 76.8 | 7 | W | 16- | 8 | | 0.125 |
2/12 | WINTER SPRINGS (14-5) | FL Dist 3 | 78.2 | 4 | W | 19- | 17 | ot | 0.150 |
2/14 | APOPKA (2-13) | FL Dist 4 | 59.9 | | W | 17- | 2 | | 0.000 |
2/18 | at St. Edward's (4-11) | FL Dist 8 | 67.3 | | W | 19- | 4 | | 0.000 |
2/23 | PARK VISTA (18-1) | FL Dist 10 | 83.8 | 2 | L | 10- | 16 | | -0.250 |
2/28 | at Lake Mary (8-8) | FL Dist 4 | 71.6 | | W | 19- | 4 | | 0.175 |
3/06 | at Lake Howell (7-6) | FL Dist 3 | 69.0 | | W | 19- | 7 | | 0.025 |
3/08 | vs. Greenwich Academy # (21-3) | NE | 86.8 | | L | 8- | 16 | | -0.100 |
3/08 | at Lake Highland Prep (11-6) | FL Dist 6 | 73.8 | | W | 12- | 10 | | 0.200 |
3/13 | OVIEDO (14-8) | FL Dist 3 | 75.7 | 9 | W | 13- | 10 | | 0.125 |
3/15 | NEASE (13-5) | FL Dist 2 | 76.5 | 8 | W | 15- | 13 | | 0.125 |
3/15 | WEST ORANGE (13-6) | FL Dist 5 | 71.7 | | W | 16- | 4 | | 0.050 |
3/18 | at Lyman (5-10) | FL Dist 4 | 65.5 | | W | 19- | 5 | | 0.000 |
3/21 | HAGERTY (1-13) | FL Dist 3 | 61.6 | | W | 18- | 0 | | 0.000 |
3/25 | SEMINOLE (1-11) | FL Dist 3 | 56.4 | | W | 19- | 1 | | 0.000 |
3/27 | WINTER PARK (12-6) | FL Dist 6 | 73.6 | | W | 17- | 7 | | 0.075 |
4/01 | APOPKA (2-13) | FL Dist 4 | 59.9 | | W | 19- | 3 | | 0.000 |
4/04 | LAKE MARY (8-8) | FL Dist 4 | 71.6 | | W | 14- | 6 | | 0.075 |
4/08 | TIMBER CREEK (17-2) | FL Dist 6 | 77.8 | 5 | W | 19- | 2 | | 0.100 |
4/11 | OLYMPIA (15-3) | FL Dist 5 | 77.4 | 6 | W | 18- | 12 | | 0.150 |
4/18 | vs. Vero Beach # (20-2) | FL Dist 8 | 90.3 | 1 | L | 6- | 18 | | -0.025 |
| # Neutral site | | 74.5 | | | | | | 0.95 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
2/04 | H | Vero Beach | 8- | 21 | -13 | -8 | –– | -1.78 | -5.39 | |
2/07 | H | Bartram Trail | 16- | 8 | 8 | 5 | + | -1.78 | 2.89 | |
2/12 | H | Winter Springs | 19- | 17 | 2 | 4 | – | -1.78 | -2.09 | |
2/14 | H | Apopka | 17- | 2 | 15 | 21 | ––– | -1.78 | -6.16 | |
2/18 | A | St. Edward's | 19- | 4 | 15 | 11 | ++ | 1.78 | 4.10 | |
2/23 | H | Park Vista | 10- | 16 | -6 | 0 | –– | -1.78 | -5.60 | |
2/28 | A | Lake Mary | 19- | 4 | 15 | 3 | +++ | 1.78 | 11.54 | |
3/06 | A | Lake Howell | 19- | 7 | 12 | 9 | + | 1.78 | 2.56 | |
3/08 | N | Greenwich Academy | 8- | 16 | -8 | -6 | | 0.00 | | -1.95 |
3/08 | A | Lake Highland Prep | 12- | 10 | 2 | 2 | | 1.78 | 0.07 | |
3/13 | H | Oviedo | 13- | 10 | 3 | 5 | – | -1.78 | -2.25 | |
3/15 | H | Nease | 15- | 13 | 2 | 5 | – | -1.78 | -3.16 | |
3/15 | H | West Orange | 16- | 4 | 12 | 8 | + | -1.78 | 3.80 | |
3/18 | A | Lyman | 19- | 5 | 14 | 14 | | 1.78 | -0.26 | |
3/21 | H | Hagerty | 18- | 0 | 18 | 21 | – | -1.78 | -2.88 | |
3/25 | H | Seminole | 19- | 1 | 18 | 25 | ––– | -1.78 | -6.68 | |
3/27 | H | Winter Park | 17- | 7 | 10 | 7 | + | -1.78 | 2.97 | |
4/01 | H | Apopka | 19- | 3 | 16 | 21 | –– | -1.78 | -5.16 | |
4/04 | H | Lake Mary | 14- | 6 | 8 | 7 | | -1.78 | 0.98 | |
4/08 | H | Timber Creek | 19- | 2 | 17 | 6 | +++ | -1.78 | 11.18 | |
4/11 | H | Olympia | 18- | 12 | 6 | 4 | + | -1.78 | 2.15 | |
4/18 | N | Vero Beach | 6- | 18 | -12 | -9 | – | 0.00 | -2.60 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | -1.95 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
2/04 | H | Vero Beach | 8- | 21 | 3.00 |
2/14 | H | Apopka | 17- | 2 | 6.16 |
2/18 | A | St. Edward's | 19- | 4 | -4.10 |
2/28 | A | Lake Mary | 19- | 4 | -5.00 |
3/06 | A | Lake Howell | 19- | 7 | -2.00 |
3/15 | H | West Orange | 16- | 4 | -2.00 |
3/18 | A | Lyman | 19- | 5 | 0.26 |
3/21 | H | Hagerty | 18- | 0 | 2.88 |
3/25 | H | Seminole | 19- | 1 | 6.68 |
3/27 | H | Winter Park | 17- | 7 | 0.00 |
4/01 | H | Apopka | 19- | 3 | 5.16 |
4/08 | H | Timber Creek | 19- | 2 | -7.00 |
4/18 | N | Vero Beach | 6- | 18 | 2.00 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.28 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 80. | | Natl CCR Rank | 264 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 80.72 | | Natl Power Rank | 264 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 67.50 | | Natl SOS Rank | 568 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.95 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 166 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.82 | | W-L Pct Rank | 195 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 18-4 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 7.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 2-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -2.4 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 6-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | 0.8 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 11-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 3.9 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 3.7 |
| 
