| Region: FL Dist 4 | State: FL | Coach: Nicole Brown |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
2/05 | at Lyman (5-10) | FL Dist 4 | 65.5 | | W | 21- | 8 | | 0.025 |
2/08 | at Timber Creek (17-2) | FL Dist 6 | 77.8 | 5 | L | 7- | 14 | | -0.175 |
2/12 | at Oviedo (14-8) | FL Dist 3 | 75.7 | 9 | L | 8- | 9 | | -0.150 |
2/14 | at Seminole (1-11) | FL Dist 3 | 56.4 | | W | 21- | 1 | | 0.000 |
2/20 | at Apopka (2-13) | FL Dist 4 | 59.9 | | W | 19- | 1 | | 0.000 |
2/21 | BISHOP MOORE (4-11) | FL Dist 5 | 65.4 | | W | 21- | 6 | | 0.000 |
2/28 | LAKE BRANTLEY (18-4) | FL Dist 4 | 80.7 | 3 | L | 4- | 19 | | -0.175 |
3/06 | at Hagerty (1-13) | FL Dist 3 | 61.6 | | W | 18- | 2 | | 0.000 |
3/13 | VERO BEACH (20-2) | FL Dist 8 | 90.3 | 1 | L | 4- | 20 | | 0.000 |
3/14 | FLAGLER PALM COAST (8-8) | FL Dist 2 | 67.0 | | W | 20- | 4 | | 0.000 |
3/20 | at Nease (13-5) | FL Dist 2 | 76.5 | 8 | L | 12- | 14 | | -0.150 |
3/25 | at Winter Springs (14-5) | FL Dist 3 | 78.2 | 4 | L | 7- | 10 | | -0.125 |
3/27 | LAKE HOWELL (7-6) | FL Dist 3 | 69.0 | | W | 9- | 8 | | 0.050 |
3/28 | at Bartram Trail (14-3) | FL Dist 2 | 76.8 | 7 | L | 4- | 15 | | -0.150 |
4/01 | vs. Lyman # (5-10) | FL Dist 4 | 65.5 | | W | 20- | 7 | | 0.000 |
4/04 | at Lake Brantley (18-4) | FL Dist 4 | 80.7 | 3 | L | 6- | 14 | | -0.075 |
| # Neutral site | | 71.9 | | | | | | -0.93 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
2/05 | A | Lyman | 21- | 8 | 13 | 9 | + | 1.78 | 3.97 | |
2/08 | A | Timber Creek | 7- | 14 | -7 | -3 | –– | 1.78 | -4.02 | |
2/12 | A | Oviedo | 8- | 9 | -1 | -4 | + | 1.78 | 2.55 | |
2/14 | A | Seminole | 21- | 1 | 20 | 16 | ++ | 1.78 | 4.12 | |
2/20 | A | Apopka | 19- | 1 | 18 | 12 | ++ | 1.78 | 5.64 | |
2/21 | H | Bishop Moore | 21- | 6 | 15 | 12 | + | -1.78 | 2.93 | |
2/28 | H | Lake Brantley | 4- | 19 | -15 | -3 | ––– | -1.78 | 11.54 | |
3/06 | A | Hagerty | 18- | 2 | 16 | 12 | + | 1.78 | 3.91 | |
3/13 | H | Vero Beach | 4- | 20 | -16 | -13 | – | -1.78 | -3.15 | |
3/14 | H | Flagler Palm Coast | 20- | 4 | 16 | 11 | ++ | -1.78 | 5.12 | |
3/20 | A | Nease | 12- | 14 | -2 | -4 | | 1.78 | 1.64 | |
3/25 | A | Winter Springs | 7- | 10 | -3 | -5 | | 1.78 | 1.71 | |
3/27 | H | Lake Howell | 9- | 8 | 1 | 8 | ––– | -1.78 | -6.77 | |
3/28 | A | Bartram Trail | 4- | 15 | -11 | -4 | ––– | 1.78 | -7.31 | |
4/01 | N | Lyman | 20- | 7 | 13 | 11 | + | 0.00 | 2.19 | |
4/04 | A | Lake Brantley | 6- | 14 | -8 | -7 | | 1.78 | -0.98 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
2/05 | A | Lyman | 21- | 8 | -3.00 |
2/14 | A | Seminole | 21- | 1 | -4.12 |
2/20 | A | Apopka | 19- | 1 | -5.64 |
2/21 | H | Bishop Moore | 21- | 6 | -2.93 |
2/28 | H | Lake Brantley | 4- | 19 | 5.00 |
3/06 | A | Hagerty | 18- | 2 | -3.91 |
3/13 | H | Vero Beach | 4- | 20 | 3.15 |
3/14 | H | Flagler Palm Coast | 20- | 4 | -5.12 |
3/28 | A | Bartram Trail | 4- | 15 | 1.00 |
4/01 | N | Lyman | 20- | 7 | -2.19 |
| 10-goal correction: -1.11 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 71. | | Natl CCR Rank | 913 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 71.57 | | Natl Power Rank | 913 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 63.74 | | Natl SOS Rank | 854 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | -0.93 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 2205 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.50 | | W-L Pct Rank | 983 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 8-8 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 3.1 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -9.8 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-8 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -7.9 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 0-8 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -7.9 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -2.0 |
|
