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2009
2008
2007
2006
2005

Lake Norman Wildcats (6-10)

Region: NC West

State: NC

Coach: Don Murphy

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
3/08	vs. Butler # (3-16)	NC SW	59.0		W	11-	3		0.125
3/08	at Providence HS, NC (14-6)	NC SW	68.0		L	2-	8		-0.075
3/11	at North Mecklenburg (8-9)	NC West	65.0		L	7-	9		-0.150
3/13	at Providence CDS, NC (1-16)	NC West	58.2		W	8-	1		0.125
3/15	HOPEWELL (14-6)	NC West	66.9		L	11-	12	ot	-0.150
3/15	WATAUGA (5-5)	NC West	61.8		L	7-	8		-0.250
3/17	MYERS PARK (13-4)	NC West	71.0	5	L	8-	18		-0.025
4/03	at Hopewell (14-6)	NC West	66.9		L	5-	13		-0.150
4/09	PROVIDENCE CDS, NC (1-16)	NC West	58.2		W	11-	2		0.100
4/10	at Charlotte CDS (12-5)	NC West	67.7		L	3-	10		-0.100
4/12	at Charlotte Catholic (19-2)	NC SW	76.5	2	L	3-	13		0.000
4/15	SOUTH MECKLENBURG (3-14)	NC SW	60.7		W	7-	5		0.150
4/17	NORTH MECKLENBURG (8-9)	NC West	65.0		L	7-	16		-0.175
4/19	BUTLER (3-16)	NC SW	59.0		W	9-	4		0.125
4/19	FREEDOM, NC (0-5)	NC West	55.2		W	15-	4		0.000
4/22	at Marvin Ridge (10-4)	NC SW	69.2	10	L	6-	18		-0.050
# Neutral site			63.2						-0.50

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/08	N	Butler	11-	3	8	5	+	0.00	2.94
3/08	A	Providence HS, NC	2-	8	-6	-7		0.39	0.62
3/11	A	North Mecklenburg	7-	9	-2	-4		0.39	1.64
3/13	A	Providence CDS, NC	8-	1	7	5		0.39	1.68
3/15	H	Hopewell	11-	12	-1	-4	+	-0.39	2.64
3/15	H	Watauga	7-	8	-1	0		-0.39	-0.99
3/17	H	Myers Park	8-	18	-10	-9		-0.39	-1.00
4/03	A	Hopewell	5-	13	-8	-4	–	0.39	-3.59
4/09	H	Providence CDS, NC	11-	2	9	6	+	-0.39	2.91
4/10	A	Charlotte CDS	3-	10	-7	-6		0.39	-0.56
4/12	A	Charlotte Catholic	3-	13	-10	-14	++	0.39	4.41
4/15	H	South Mecklenburg	7-	5	2	4		-0.39	-1.56
4/17	H	North Mecklenburg	7-	16	-9	-3	–––	-0.39	-6.13
4/19	H	Butler	9-	4	5	5		-0.39	-0.44
4/19	H	Freedom, NC	15-	4	11	10		-0.39	1.30
4/22	A	Marvin Ridge	6-	18	-12	-8	–	0.39	-3.85
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/17	H	Myers Park	8-	18	0.00
4/12	A	Charlotte Catholic	3-	13	-4.41
4/19	H	Freedom, NC	15-	4	-1.29
4/22	A	Marvin Ridge	6-	18	2.00
10-goal correction: -0.23

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	61.		Natl CCR Rank	1693
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	61.45		Natl Power Rank	1693
Natl SOS Rating	50.58		Natl SOS Rank	1913
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.50		Natl Quality Win Rank	1883
W-L Pct Rating	0.38		W-L Pct Rank	1342
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	6-10		Ave Goal diff (all )	-1.5
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-10.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-10.7
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-7		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-7.7
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	1.3

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