| Conference: ECIC | Region: NY A Sec 6 | State: NY | |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
4/07 | A | Frontier | 10- | 13 | -3 | -7 | ++ | 1.72 | 4.29 | |
4/09 | A | Lancaster, NY | 7- | 16 | -9 | -15 | +++ | 1.72 | 6.35 | |
4/10 | H | Mt. St. Mary's Acad | 15- | 11 | 4 | 2 | + | -1.72 | 2.29 | |
4/22 | H | Williamsville North | 14- | 16 | -2 | -3 | | -1.72 | 1.30 | |
4/24 | A | Clarence | 10- | 14 | -4 | -5 | | 1.72 | 1.48 | |
4/25 | A | Grand Island | 10- | 12 | -2 | 1 | – | 1.72 | -2.67 | |
4/30 | H | Orchard Park | 1- | 16 | -15 | -8 | ––– | -1.72 | -6.90 | |
5/02 | H | Frontier | 4- | 15 | -11 | -4 | ––– | -1.72 | -7.16 | |
5/05 | H | Lancaster, NY | 4- | 14 | -10 | -12 | | -1.72 | 1.90 | |
5/09 | H | Clarence | 10- | 12 | -2 | -2 | | -1.72 | 0.04 | |
5/16 | A | Orchard Park | 4- | 16 | -12 | -12 | | 1.72 | -0.46 | |
5/28 | A | Orchard Park | 4- | 16 | -12 | -12 | | 1.72 | -0.46 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
4/30 | H | Orchard Park | 1- | 16 | 5.00 |
5/02 | H | Frontier | 4- | 15 | 1.00 |
5/05 | H | Lancaster, NY | 4- | 14 | -1.90 |
5/16 | A | Orchard Park | 4- | 16 | 0.46 |
5/28 | A | Orchard Park | 4- | 16 | 0.46 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.42 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 65. | | Natl CCR Rank | 1456 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 64.68 | | Natl Power Rank | 1456 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 65.95 | | Natl SOS Rank | 669 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | -0.85 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 2174 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.08 | | W-L Pct Rank | 1946 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 1-11 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | -6.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -11.6 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-8 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -9.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 1-11 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -6.5 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -8.7 |
|
