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Leonardtown Raiders (14-2)

Region: MD 4A

State: MD

Coach: Mike Denny

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/25	GREAT MILLS (7-7)	MD 4A	76.7		W	10-	3		0.050
3/27	HUNTINGTOWN (7-6)	MD 3A	77.2		W	16-	4		0.075
3/31	at Northern-Calvert (1-12)	MD 3A	70.8		W	14-	1		0.000
4/05	vs. Polytechnic, Baltimore # (7-6)	MD 2A	71.3		W	19-	0		0.000
4/05	at Mount de Sales (8-10)	MD IAAM A	86.2		L	3-	9		-0.125
4/09	at Calvert (1-10)	MD 3A	71.0		W	14-	6		0.000
4/10	PATUXENT (8-5)	MD 4A	78.5		W	8-	4		0.100
4/15	at Great Mills (7-7)	MD 4A	76.7		W	14-	6		0.100
4/17	CHOPTICON (9-4)	MD 3A	78.5		W	12-	6		0.075
4/22	ST. MARY'S RYKEN (1-15)	DC WCAC	73.0		W	14-	5		0.000
4/24	NORTHERN-CALVERT (1-12)	MD 3A	70.8		W	21-	4		0.000
5/01	at St. Mary's Ryken (1-15)	DC WCAC	73.0		W	11-	6		0.050
5/02	at Huntingtown (7-6)	MD 3A	77.2		W	6-	4		0.125
5/06	at Patuxent (8-5)	MD 4A	78.5		W	15-	8		0.150
5/10	GREAT MILLS (7-7)	MD 4A	76.7		W	11-	4		0.050
5/12	BROADNECK (13-4)	MD 4A	91.1	2	L	3-	19		-0.025
# Neutral site			76.3						0.63

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/25	H	Great Mills	10-	3	7	8		-0.99	-0.60
3/27	H	Huntingtown	16-	4	12	7	++	-0.99	5.49
3/31	A	Northern-Calvert	14-	1	13	13		0.99	0.10
4/05	N	Polytechnic, Baltimore	19-	0	19	14	++	0.00	4.89
4/05	A	Mount de Sales	3-	9	-6	-5		0.77		-1.36
4/09	A	Calvert	14-	6	8	12	––	0.99	-4.12
4/10	H	Patuxent	8-	4	4	6	–	-0.99	-2.29
4/15	A	Great Mills	14-	6	8	6	+	0.99	2.39
4/17	H	Chopticon	12-	6	6	7		-0.99	-0.63
4/22	H	St. Mary's Ryken	14-	5	9	11		-1.52		-1.81
4/24	H	Northern-Calvert	21-	4	17	15	+	-0.99	2.11
5/01	A	St. Mary's Ryken	11-	6	5	8	–	1.52		-2.77
5/02	A	Huntingtown	6-	4	2	5	–	0.99	-2.52
5/06	A	Patuxent	15-	8	7	4	+	0.99	2.70
5/10	H	Great Mills	11-	4	7	8		-0.99	-0.60
5/12	H	Broadneck	3-	19	-16	-9	–––	-0.99	-6.91
									0.00	-5.94

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/27	H	Huntingtown	16-	4	-2.00
3/31	A	Northern-Calvert	14-	1	-0.10
4/05	N	Polytechnic, Baltimore	19-	0	-4.89
4/24	H	Northern-Calvert	21-	4	-2.11
5/12	H	Broadneck	3-	19	6.00
10-goal correction: -0.19

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	82.		Natl CCR Rank	206
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	82.29		Natl Power Rank	206
Natl SOS Rating	69.71		Natl SOS Rank	458
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.63		Natl Quality Win Rank	341
W-L Pct Rating	0.88		W-L Pct Rank	104
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	14-2		Ave Goal diff (all )	6.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-16.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-16.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-16.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-0.7


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