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Liberty, CO Lancers (9-5)

Region: CO Southn

State: CO

Coach: Meredith Diamond

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/07	CHERRY CREEK CLUB (10-3)	CO Indep	76.8		L	9-	10	ot	-0.325
3/13	DOUGLAS COUNTY, CO (4-11)	CO Contin	66.7		W	16-	7		0.075
3/15	at ThunderRidge (2-10)	CO Contin	69.2		W	13-	7		0.200
3/19	PUEBLO WEST (0-9)	CO Southn	58.5		W	20-	2		0.000
3/21	at Grandview (5-8)	CO Centen	72.3		W	14-	13	2ot	0.200
4/02	CHEYENNE MOUNTAIN (10-5)	CO Southn	77.4		W	17-	12		0.200
4/04	at Lewis-Palmer (9-4)	CO Southn	76.5		L	10-	11		-0.250
4/05	WHEAT RIDGE (5-6)	CO Jeffco	71.8		W	17-	10		0.150
4/07	at St. Mary's Acad, CO (7-5)	CO Metro	77.8	10	L	9-	17		-0.200
4/14	at Palmer (7-8)	CO Southn	68.2		W	13-	12		0.125
4/16	AIR ACADEMY (17-1)	CO Southn	82.7	2	L	3-	11		-0.025
4/21	vs. Rampart # (6-7)	CO Southn	67.5		W	16-	7		0.075
4/24	at Fountain Valley School (3-7)	CO Indep	63.1		W	16-	6		0.025
4/26	at Pine Creek (12-3)	CO Southn	76.9		L	8-	9		-0.300
# Neutral site			65.4						-0.05

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/07	H	Cherry Creek Club	9-	10	-1	3	–	-0.82	-3.90
3/13	H	Douglas County, CO	16-	7	9	7	+	-0.82	2.03
3/15	A	ThunderRidge	13-	7	6	2	+	0.82	3.59
3/19	H	Pueblo West	20-	2	18	14	+	-0.82	3.79
3/21	A	Grandview	14-	13	1	2		0.82	-0.73
4/02	H	Cheyenne Mountain	17-	12	5	2	+	-0.82	2.52
4/04	A	Lewis-Palmer	10-	11	-1	0		0.82	-1.47
4/05	H	Wheat Ridge	17-	10	7	4	+	-0.82	2.77
4/07	A	St. Mary's Acad, CO	9-	17	-8	-2	––	0.82	-5.81
4/14	A	Palmer	13-	12	1	5	–	0.82	-3.85
4/16	H	Air Academy	3-	11	-8	-9		-0.82	0.78
4/21	N	Rampart	16-	7	9	7	+	0.00	2.08
4/24	A	Fountain Valley School	16-	6	10	9		0.82	1.41
4/26	A	Pine Creek	8-	9	-1	2	–	0.82	-3.20
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/19	H	Pueblo West	20-	2	-3.79
4/24	A	Fountain Valley School	16-	6	0.00
10-goal correction: -0.27

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	77.		Natl CCR Rank	423
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	77.39		Natl Power Rank	423
Natl SOS Rating	53.14		Natl SOS Rank	1720
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.05		Natl Quality Win Rank	1200
W-L Pct Rating	0.64		W-L Pct Rank	623
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	9-5		Ave Goal diff (all )	3.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-8.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-8.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	1-5		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-2.3
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	6.0


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