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Lincoln-Sudbury Warriors (21-2)

Region: MA No D1

State: MA

Coach: Debbie DeJesus

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/27	at Wayland (5-12)	MA No D2	66.3		W	16-	5		0.025
4/01	WESTFORD ACADEMY (12-9)	MA No D2	72.7		W	18-	6		0.000
4/03	at Weston, MA (13-7)	MA No D2	75.9		W	14-	2		0.100
4/07	KING PHILIP (17-3)	MA So D1	81.9	8	W	14-	8		0.175
4/08	BEDFORD (2-14)	MA No D2	58.8		W	15-	6		0.000
4/10	FRAMINGHAM (22-2)	MA No D1	86.1	2	L	11-	16		-0.250
4/15	at Concord-Carlisle (11-7)	MA No D1	74.6		W	11-	4		0.100
4/17	at Acton-Boxborough (18-3)	MA No D1	80.3	10	W	19-	9		0.175
4/23	at Newton South (6-15)	MA So D1	62.1		W	15-	5		0.000
4/25	TYNGSBOROUGH (3-14)	MA No D2	56.5		W	18-	2		0.000
4/28	WAYLAND (5-12)	MA No D2	66.3		W	18-	7		0.000
4/30	at Westford Academy (12-9)	MA No D2	72.7		W	18-	4		0.050
5/02	WESTON, MA (13-7)	MA No D2	75.9		W	16-	4		0.050
5/06	at Bedford (2-14)	MA No D2	58.8		W	17-	4		0.000
5/12	at Norwell (16-9)	MA So D2	79.6		W	11-	7		0.200
5/13	CONCORD-CARLISLE (11-7)	MA No D1	74.6		W	17-	11		0.050
5/15	ACTON-BOXBOROUGH (18-3)	MA No D1	80.3	10	W	14-	9		0.125
5/19	NEWTON SOUTH (6-15)	MA So D1	62.1		W	16-	2		0.000
5/21	at Tyngsborough (3-14)	MA No D2	56.5		W	15-	2		0.000
5/27	LOWELL (7-12)	MA No D1	62.6		W	17-	5		0.000
5/31	CHELMSFORD (14-6)	MA No D1	76.0		W	15-	6		0.075
6/03	vs. Lexington HS # (18-4)	MA No D1	78.9		W	16-	7		0.100
6/07	vs. Framingham # (22-2)	MA No D1	86.1	2	L	9-	17		-0.225
# Neutral site			77.1						0.75

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/27	A	Wayland	16-	5	11	9		0.92	1.53
4/01	H	Westford Academy	18-	6	12	10	+	-0.92	2.17
4/03	A	Weston, MA	14-	2	12	6	+++	0.92	6.15
4/07	H	King Philip	14-	8	6	3	+	-0.92	3.30
4/08	H	Bedford	15-	6	9	17	–––	-0.92	-8.20
4/10	H	Framingham	11-	16	-5	0	––	-0.92	-5.10
4/15	A	Concord-Carlisle	11-	4	7	6		0.92	0.57
4/17	A	Acton-Boxborough	19-	9	10	3	+++	0.92	6.67
4/23	A	Newton South	15-	5	10	13	–	0.92	-2.96
4/25	H	Tyngsborough	18-	2	16	18		-0.92	-1.92
4/28	H	Wayland	18-	7	11	11		-0.92	-0.30
4/30	A	Westford Academy	18-	4	14	8	+++	0.92	6.01
5/02	H	Weston, MA	16-	4	12	8	++	-0.92	4.32
5/06	A	Bedford	17-	4	13	15	–	0.92	-2.37
5/12	A	Norwell	11-	7	4	2		0.92	1.67
5/13	H	Concord-Carlisle	17-	11	6	8	–	-0.92	-2.26
5/15	H	Acton-Boxborough	14-	9	5	5		-0.92	-0.16
5/19	H	Newton South	16-	2	14	15		-0.92	-0.79
5/21	A	Tyngsborough	15-	2	13	16	–	0.92	-3.08
5/27	H	Lowell	17-	5	12	15	–	-0.92	-2.97
5/31	H	Chelmsford	15-	6	9	7		-0.92	1.70
6/03	N	Lexington HS	16-	7	9	6	+	0.00	3.20
6/07	N	Framingham	9-	17	-8	-1	–––	0.00	-7.18
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/27	A	Wayland	16-	5	-1.00
4/01	H	Westford Academy	18-	6	-2.17
4/03	A	Weston, MA	14-	2	-2.00
4/17	A	Acton-Boxborough	19-	9	0.00
4/23	A	Newton South	15-	5	2.96
4/25	H	Tyngsborough	18-	2	1.92
4/28	H	Wayland	18-	7	0.30
4/30	A	Westford Academy	18-	4	-4.00
5/02	H	Weston, MA	16-	4	-2.00
5/06	A	Bedford	17-	4	2.37
5/19	H	Newton South	16-	2	0.79
5/21	A	Tyngsborough	15-	2	3.08
5/27	H	Lowell	17-	5	2.97
10-goal correction: 0.14

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	84.		Natl CCR Rank	147
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	84.04		Natl Power Rank	147
Natl SOS Rating	71.12		Natl SOS Rank	376
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.75		Natl Quality Win Rank	278
W-L Pct Rating	0.91		W-L Pct Rank	67
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	21-2		Ave Goal diff (all )	8.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-6.5
Wins/Losses (top 10)	3-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	1.6
Wins/Losses (top 20)	5-2		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	3.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	3.3


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