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Nat'l CCR Nat'l Poll Computer Rating Strength of Schedule Nat'l Quality Wins W-L Pct

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Lower Dauphin Falcons (2-10)

Region: PA Mid PAState: PACoach: Megan Zeller

DateOpponentConferencePRTop 10Score QWF
3/19HEMPFIELD, LANDISVILLE (13-6)PA LLL77.67-    
3/24at Central Dauphin (7-12)PA Mid PA72.0L7-10 -0.100  
3/26CARLISLE (11-7)PA Mid PA75.1L6-16 -0.025  
3/31at Palmyra, PA (0-14)PA Mid PA63.6W16-10 0.175  
4/02WILSON, PA (1-3)PA Indep67.5-    
4/05at Cedar Crest (1-12)PA LLL66.6-    
4/07HERSHEY (19-0)PA Mid PA82.81L3-16 0.000  
4/09at Cumberland Valley (13-6)PA Mid PA77.58L3-17 0.000  
4/11CONRAD WEISER (0-3)PA Indep64.9-    
4/14CENTRAL DAUPHIN EAST (8-11)PA Mid PA70.8L4-12 -0.225  
4/16CENTRAL DAUPHIN (7-12)PA Mid PA72.0L5- 8 -0.125  
4/21at Carlisle (11-7)PA Mid PA75.1L4-18 0.000  
4/23PALMYRA, PA (0-14)PA Mid PA63.6W10- 6 0.150  
4/25EPHRATA (1-10)PA LLL69.7-    
4/28LAMPETER-STRASBURG (2-10)PA LLL71.4-    
4/30at Hershey (19-0)PA Mid PA82.81L0-18 0.000  
5/05CUMBERLAND VALLEY (13-6)PA Mid PA77.58L5-21 0.000  
5/07at Central Dauphin East (8-11)PA Mid PA70.8L8- 9 -0.200  
5/08CONESTOGA VALLEY (9-10)PA LLL75.1-    
5/09at Ephrata (1-10)PA LLL69.7-    
 69.1     -0.35  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/24ACentral Dauphin7-10-3   -6       +0.74       3.19
3/26HCarlisle6-16-10   -9       -0.74       -0.55
3/31APalmyra, PA16-106   3       +0.74       3.09
4/07HHershey3-16-13   -16       +-0.74       3.29
4/09ACumberland Valley3-17-14   -15       0.74       1.23
4/14HCentral Dauphin East4-12-8   -1       –––-0.74       -7.24
4/16HCentral Dauphin5-8-3   -5       -0.74       1.70
4/21ACarlisle4-18-14   -11       0.74       -3.07
4/23HPalmyra, PA10-64   4       -0.74       -0.40
4/30AHershey0-18-18   -18       0.74       -0.23
5/05HCumberland Valley5-21-16   -14       -0.74       -2.25
5/07ACentral Dauphin East8-9-1   -2       0.74       1.24
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/26HCarlisle6-160.00
4/07HHershey3-16-3.29
4/09ACumberland Valley3-17-1.23
4/21ACarlisle4-183.07
4/30AHershey0-180.23
5/05HCumberland Valley5-212.25
10-goal correction: 0.09

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 67.   Natl CCR Rank 1222
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 67.43   Natl Power Rank 1222
Natl SOS Rating 58.49   Natl SOS Rank 1254
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.35   Natl Quality Win Rank 1699
W-L Pct Rating 0.17   W-L Pct Rank 1797
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 2-10   Ave Goal diff (all ) -7.5
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-2   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -15.5
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-4   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -15.2
Wins/Losses (top 20) 0-10   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -10.0
Wins/Losses (last 3) 0-3   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -11.7



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