| Region: CT Div 2 | State: CT | Coach: Tom Risom |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
4/03 | A | Branford | 3- | 7 | -4 | -3 | | 0.81 | -0.87 | |
4/08 | H | North Branford | 8- | 7 | 1 | 5 | –– | -0.81 | -4.04 | |
4/10 | A | Old Saybrook | 15- | 3 | 12 | 13 | | 0.81 | -0.94 | |
4/21 | H | Valley Regional | 17- | 11 | 6 | 9 | – | -0.81 | -3.31 | |
4/23 | A | Haddam-Killingworth | 17- | 2 | 15 | 7 | +++ | 0.81 | 7.70 | |
4/26 | H | Norwich Free Acad | 19- | 11 | 8 | 5 | + | -0.81 | 3.03 | |
4/29 | H | Morgan School | 12- | 11 | 1 | 3 | | -0.81 | -1.84 | |
5/01 | A | North Branford | 13- | 10 | 3 | 3 | | 0.81 | -0.43 | |
5/05 | H | Old Saybrook | 14- | 4 | 10 | 15 | –– | -0.81 | -4.55 | |
5/07 | A | Southington | 9- | 8 | 1 | 1 | | 0.81 | -0.20 | |
5/10 | A | Valley Regional | 20- | 8 | 12 | 8 | ++ | 0.81 | 4.30 | |
5/13 | H | Haddam-Killingworth | 16- | 6 | 10 | 9 | | -0.81 | 1.08 | |
5/15 | A | Morgan School | 14- | 15 | -1 | 1 | – | 0.81 | -2.23 | |
5/19 | H | Fitch | 19- | 13 | 6 | 7 | | -0.81 | -0.69 | |
5/20 | A | East Lyme | 5- | 19 | -14 | -8 | –– | 0.81 | -5.51 | |
5/22 | H | Stonington | 18- | 8 | 10 | 4 | ++ | -0.81 | 5.59 | |
5/31 | H | Ellington | 12- | 10 | 2 | 3 | | -0.81 | -1.41 | |
6/02 | H | Morgan School | 12- | 8 | 4 | 3 | | -0.81 | 1.16 | |
6/04 | N | Suffield HS | 5- | 8 | -3 | -6 | + | 0.00 | 3.17 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
4/10 | A | Old Saybrook | 15- | 3 | 0.94 |
4/23 | A | Haddam-Killingworth | 17- | 2 | -5.00 |
5/05 | H | Old Saybrook | 14- | 4 | 4.55 |
5/10 | A | Valley Regional | 20- | 8 | -2.00 |
5/13 | H | Haddam-Killingworth | 16- | 6 | 0.00 |
5/20 | A | East Lyme | 5- | 19 | 4.00 |
5/22 | H | Stonington | 18- | 8 | 0.00 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.13 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 75. | | Natl CCR Rank | 620 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 74.57 | | Natl Power Rank | 620 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 52.06 | | Natl SOS Rank | 1794 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.97 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 168 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.79 | | W-L Pct Rank | 242 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 15-4 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 4.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -14.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -8.5 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 1.0 |
| 
