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Longmeadow Lancers (20-3)

Region: MA West D1

State: MA

Coach: Kathy Parker

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/01	CATHEDRAL, MA (0-15)	MA West D1	49.0		W	17-	0		0.000
4/03	at Amherst-Pelham (9-7)	MA West D1	65.8		W	15-	0		0.000
4/07	WEST SPRINGFIELD, MA (3-11)	MA West D1	55.1		W	21-	0		0.000
4/12	at Westwood, MA (24-0)	MA So D1	92.1	1	L	5-	14		-0.125
4/14	at Westfield HS, MA (5-10)	MA West D1	60.7		W	14-	1		0.000
4/19	ANDOVER, MA (17-6)	MA No D1	81.5	9	W	11-	4		0.125
4/21	AGAWAM (15-7)	MA West D1	74.5		W	11-	1		0.000
4/24	at Pinkerton Academy, NH (14-5)	NH D1	76.1		W	14-	5		0.025
4/26	at Loomis Chaffee School (13-1)	NE	88.4		L	6-	10		-0.150
4/30	at Northampton (7-9)	MA West D1	66.9		W	17-	2		0.000
5/05	at Minnechaug (15-3)	MA West D1	79.3		W	12-	5		0.100
5/10	DEERFIELD ACADEMY, MA (11-3)	NE	82.9		W	13-	5		0.150
5/12	EAST LONGMEADOW (3-12)	MA West D1	54.9		W	17-	0		0.000
5/13	at Agawam (15-7)	MA West D1	74.5		W	16-	1		0.025
5/14	HOTCHKISS SCHOOL (11-3)	NE	84.8		W	12-	4		0.200
5/16	NORTHAMPTON (7-9)	MA West D1	66.9		W	15-	3		0.000
5/19	SOUTH WINDSOR (11-6)	CT Div 1	78.1		W	13-	5		0.025
5/20	MINNECHAUG (15-3)	MA West D1	79.3		W	17-	0		0.050
5/23	at South Hadley (9-8)	MA West D1	69.6		W	13-	3		0.000
5/27	at East Longmeadow (3-12)	MA West D1	54.9			-
6/03	SOUTH HADLEY (9-8)	MA West D1	69.6		W	20-	6		0.000
6/05	vs. Minnechaug # (15-3)	MA West D1	79.3		W	12-	4		0.075
6/11	vs. Westborough # (14-3)	MA Cen D1	78.8		W	10-	6		0.100
6/14	vs. Westwood, MA # (24-0)	MA So D1	92.1	1	L	7-	10		-0.150
# Neutral site			78.0						0.45

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/01	H	Cathedral, MA	17-	0	17	24	–––	-0.92	-7.03
4/03	A	Amherst-Pelham	15-	0	15	15		0.92	0.17
4/07	H	West Springfield, MA	21-	0	21	20		-0.92	0.56
4/12	A	Westwood, MA	5-	14	-9	-5	–	0.92	-3.77
4/14	A	Westfield HS, MA	14-	1	13	17	––	0.92	-4.27
4/19	H	Andover, MA	11-	4	7	5	+	-0.92	2.07
4/21	H	Agawam	11-	1	10	11		-0.92	-0.79
4/24	A	Pinkerton Academy, NH	14-	5	9	9		1.02		0.37
4/26	A	Loomis Chaffee School	6-	10	-4	-4		0.98		-0.37
4/30	A	Northampton	17-	2	15	12	+	0.92	2.92
5/05	A	Minnechaug	12-	5	7	6		0.92	0.91
5/10	H	Deerfield Academy, MA	13-	5	8	4	++	-0.98		4.21
5/12	H	East Longmeadow	17-	0	17	20	–	-0.92	-2.80
5/13	A	Agawam	16-	1	15	9	+++	0.92	6.04
5/14	H	Hotchkiss School	12-	4	8	2	+++	-0.98		6.10
5/16	H	Northampton	15-	3	12	14		-0.92	-1.91
5/19	H	South Windsor	13-	5	8	9		-0.86		-0.55
5/20	H	Minnechaug	17-	0	17	8	+++	-0.92	9.08
5/23	A	South Hadley	13-	3	10	12		0.92	-1.81
6/03	H	South Hadley	20-	6	14	14		-0.92	0.36
6/05	N	Minnechaug	12-	4	8	7		0.00	0.99
6/11	N	Westborough	10-	6	4	6	–	0.00	-2.02
6/14	N	Westwood, MA	7-	10	-3	-4		0.00	1.31
									0.00	9.76

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/01	H	Cathedral, MA	17-	0	7.03
4/03	A	Amherst-Pelham	15-	0	-0.17
4/07	H	West Springfield, MA	21-	0	-0.56
4/14	A	Westfield HS, MA	14-	1	4.27
4/21	H	Agawam	11-	1	0.79
4/30	A	Northampton	17-	2	-2.92
5/12	H	East Longmeadow	17-	0	2.80
5/13	A	Agawam	16-	1	-5.00
5/16	H	Northampton	15-	3	1.91
5/20	H	Minnechaug	17-	0	-7.00
5/23	A	South Hadley	13-	3	1.81
6/03	H	South Hadley	20-	6	-0.36
10-goal correction: 0.11

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	85.		Natl CCR Rank	102
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	85.75		Natl Power Rank	102
Natl SOS Rating	73.06		Natl SOS Rank	289
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.45		Natl Quality Win Rank	412
W-L Pct Rating	0.87		W-L Pct Rank	114
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	20-3		Ave Goal diff (all )	9.5
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-6.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-1.7
Wins/Losses (top 20)	5-2		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	4.4
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	3.0


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