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Strength of Schedule

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Long Reach Lightning (1-11)

Region: MD 3A

State: MD

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/07	FREDERICK (2-10)	MD 3A	64.6			-
3/12	at Chapelgate Christian (9-9)	MD IAAM B	73.7		L	4-	15		-0.125
3/28	at Meade (1-12)	MD 4A	70.0		L	8-	9		-0.200
3/29	vs. Sherwood, MD # (10-5)	MD 4A	77.9		L	4-	19		0.000
4/01	RESERVOIR (10-5)	MD 2A	80.1		L	4-	17		0.000
4/08	CENTENNIAL, MD (14-4)	MD 3A	87.0	10	L	3-	18		0.000
4/10	at Mt. Hebron (12-5)	MD 3A	90.0	5	L	0-	25		0.000
4/14	OAKLAND MILLS (2-11)	MD 1A	71.8		W	12-	11		0.300
4/18	RIVER HILL (6-8)	MD 3A	78.6		L	7-	20		0.000
4/22	at Wilde Lake (3-11)	MD 3A	73.8		L	7-	14		-0.125
4/25	at Hammond (2-9)	MD 2A	73.7			-
5/02	MARRIOTTS RIDGE (9-6)	MD 1A	81.0		L	3-	24		0.000
5/05	at Glenelg HS (16-4)	MD 1A	90.8	3	L	3-	23		0.000
5/10	at Mt. Hebron (12-5)	MD 3A	90.0	5	L	0-	22		0.000
# Neutral site			79.1						-0.15

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/12	A	Chapelgate Christian	4-	15	-11	-5	–––	0.85		-6.05
3/28	A	Meade	8-	9	-1	-2		0.99	1.29
3/29	N	Sherwood, MD	4-	19	-15	-10	––	0.00	-4.72
4/01	H	Reservoir	4-	17	-13	-11		-0.99	-1.93
4/08	H	Centennial, MD	3-	18	-15	-17	+	-0.99	2.32
4/10	A	Mt. Hebron	0-	25	-25	-26		0.99	0.97
4/14	H	Oakland Mills	12-	11	1	-2	+	-0.99	3.08
4/18	H	River Hill	7-	20	-13	-11	–	-0.99	-2.50
4/22	A	Wilde Lake	7-	14	-7	-5	–	0.99	-2.47
5/02	H	Marriotts Ridge	3-	24	-21	-14	–––	-0.99	-6.83
5/05	A	Glenelg HS	3-	23	-20	-27	+++	0.99	6.83
5/10	A	Mt. Hebron	0-	22	-22	-26	+	0.99	3.97
									0.00	-6.05

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/12	A	Chapelgate Christian	4-	15	1.00
3/29	N	Sherwood, MD	4-	19	5.00
4/01	H	Reservoir	4-	17	1.93
4/08	H	Centennial, MD	3-	18	-2.32
4/10	A	Mt. Hebron	0-	25	-0.97
4/18	H	River Hill	7-	20	2.50
5/02	H	Marriotts Ridge	3-	24	6.83
5/05	A	Glenelg HS	3-	23	-6.83
5/10	A	Mt. Hebron	0-	22	-3.97
10-goal correction: 0.26

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	69.		Natl CCR Rank	1062
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	69.64		Natl Power Rank	1062
Natl SOS Rating	75.12		Natl SOS Rank	229
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.15		Natl Quality Win Rank	1340
W-L Pct Rating	0.08		W-L Pct Rank	1935
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	1-11		Ave Goal diff (all )	-13.5
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-22.3
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-20.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-20.5
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-21.0


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