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Lovett Lions (5-9 - 1)

Region: GA A8

State: GA

Coach: Stacey Noviello

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
2/25	ROCKDALE COUNTY (4-10)	GA A2	55.7		W	18-	2		0.000
2/28	at South Forsyth (13-5)	GA A6	74.9	8	L	7-	12		-0.075
3/03	WHEELER, GA (1-12)	GA A8	52.3		W	15-	2		0.000
3/05	CENTENNIAL, GA (10-8)	GA A4	71.8		W	10-	9		0.300
3/12	at Pope (9-5)	GA A8	67.4		T	11-	11		0.000
3/13	at Chattahoochee (14-5)	GA A4	77.7	4	L	9-	20		0.000
3/15	at Winter Park (12-6)	FL Dist 6	73.6		L	7-	12		-0.050
3/17	vs. W.T. Woodson # (11-5)	VA Lbrty	79.4		L	7-	12		0.000
3/28	NORTH COBB (9-7)	GA A8	63.1		W	9-	7		0.075
4/01	at Darlington (2-10)	GA A8	57.2		W	11-	3		0.050
4/03	at Walton (9-7)	GA A8	70.8		L	7-	13		-0.150
4/10	WESTMINSTER SCHOOL, GA (20-2)	GA A3	77.9	3	L	2-	17		-0.025
4/15	at Roswell (10-5)	GA A6	71.7		L	11-	14		-0.150
4/19	at Lassiter (12-8)	GA A7	74.4	9	L	9-	13		-0.100
4/23	MILTON, GA (17-5)	GA A6	80.2	1	L	7-	17		0.000
# Neutral site			67.9						-0.12

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/25	H	Rockdale County	18-	2	16	15		-1.70	1.23
2/28	A	South Forsyth	7-	12	-5	-7		1.70	1.53
3/03	H	Wheeler, GA	15-	2	13	17	––	-1.70	-4.26
3/05	H	Centennial, GA	10-	9	1	-2	+	-1.70	3.07
3/12	A	Pope	11-	11	0	-3	+	1.70	2.87
3/13	A	Chattahoochee	9-	20	-11	-13		1.70	1.58
3/15	A	Winter Park	7-	12	-5	-8	+	1.74		3.40
3/17	N	W.T. Woodson	7-	12	-5	-12	+++	0.00		7.46
3/28	H	North Cobb	9-	7	2	7	––	-1.70	-4.95
4/01	A	Darlington	11-	3	8	8		1.70	0.36
4/03	A	Walton	7-	13	-6	-4		1.70	-1.72
4/10	H	Westminster School, GA	2-	17	-15	-9	–––	-1.70	-6.49
4/15	A	Roswell	11-	14	-3	-4		1.70	1.38
4/19	A	Lassiter	9-	13	-4	-6	+	1.70	2.21
4/23	H	Milton, GA	7-	17	-10	-13	+	-1.70	3.18
									0.00	10.86

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
2/25	H	Rockdale County	18-	2	-1.23
3/03	H	Wheeler, GA	15-	2	4.26
3/13	A	Chattahoochee	9-	20	-1.58
4/10	H	Westminster School, GA	2-	17	5.00
4/23	H	Milton, GA	7-	17	-3.18
10-goal correction: 0.22

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	67.		Natl CCR Rank	1262
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	66.98		Natl Power Rank	1262
Natl SOS Rating	57.52		Natl SOS Rank	1322
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.12		Natl Quality Win Rank	1334
W-L Pct Rating	0.37		W-L Pct Rank	1359
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	5-9		Ave Goal diff (all )	-1.6
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-12.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-9.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	1-7		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-5.9
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-5.7

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