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St. Luke's Crusaders (11-3)

Region: NE

State: CT

Coach: Tim Helstein

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/20	at Bluffton (9-4)	SC SCLL	68.1		W	14-	5		0.100
4/08	HOPKINS SCHOOL, CT (9-8)	NE	72.1		W	15-	11		0.175
4/11	HAMDEN HALL CDS (6-7)	NE	68.5		W	15-	6		0.050
4/12	ETHEL WALKER SCHOOL (14-3)	NE	75.9		L	9-	12		-0.250
4/14	GREENWICH ACADEMY (21-3)	NE	86.9	4	L	4-	14		-0.025
4/15	at Holy Child, NY (5-9)	NE	68.0		W	15-	11		0.175
4/17	at Kingswood-Oxford (7-12)	NE	69.6		W	10-	9		0.200
4/19	at Canterbury School (3-12)	NE	67.5		W	12-	8		0.125
4/28	KING&LOW-HEYWOOD THOMA (9-10)	NE	69.2		W	17-	12		0.100
4/29	at Convent-Sacred Heart, (8-6)	NE	76.4		L	10-	12	ot	-0.175
5/03	at Gunnery (5-10)	NE	68.4		W	14-	7		0.150
5/05	MASTERS SCHOOL, NY (0-6)	NE	57.6		W	14-	1		0.000
5/06	at Rye Country Day (7-7)	NE	71.0		W	13-	11		0.250
5/14	at Greens Farms Academy (1-12)	NE	62.1		W	19-	14		0.050
			73.3						0.93

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/20	A	Bluffton	14-	5	9	6	+	1.22		2.94
4/08	H	Hopkins School, CT	15-	11	4	3		-1.05	0.99
4/11	H	Hamden Hall CDS	15-	6	9	8		-1.05	1.27
4/12	H	Ethel Walker School	9-	12	-3	0	–	-1.05	-2.64
4/14	H	Greenwich Academy	4-	14	-10	-9		-1.05	-0.55
4/15	A	Holy Child, NY	15-	11	4	3		1.05	0.79
4/17	A	Kingswood-Oxford	10-	9	1	2		1.05	-0.56
4/19	A	Canterbury School	12-	8	4	5		1.05	-1.09
4/28	H	King&Low-Heywood Thoma	17-	12	5	6		-1.05	-0.95
4/29	A	Convent-Sacred Heart,	10-	12	-2	-3		1.05	1.34
5/03	A	Gunnery	14-	7	7	4	+	1.05	3.24
5/05	H	Masters School, NY	14-	1	13	13		-1.05	-0.13
5/06	A	Rye Country Day	13-	11	2	0		1.05	1.64
5/14	A	Greens Farms Academy	19-	14	5	8	–	1.05	-3.35
									0.00	2.94

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/14	H	Greenwich Academy	4-	14	0.00
5/05	H	Masters School, NY	14-	1	0.13
10-goal correction: 0.01

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	75.		Natl CCR Rank	561
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	75.38		Natl Power Rank	561
Natl SOS Rating	64.44		Natl SOS Rank	793
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.93		Natl Quality Win Rank	185
W-L Pct Rating	0.79		W-L Pct Rank	256
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	11-3		Ave Goal diff (all )	3.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-10.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-10.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-10.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	3-0		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	6.7


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