| Region: FL Dist 4 | State: FL | Coach: Cheryl Watson |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Rank | Score | | COR |
|---|
2/05 | LAKE MARY (8-8) | FL Dist 4 | 71.6 | | L | 8- | 21 | | -0.025 |
2/07 | at Oviedo (14-8) | FL Dist 3 | 75.7 | 9 | L | 6- | 18 | | 0.000 |
2/19 | at Seminole (1-11) | FL Dist 3 | 56.4 | | W | 16- | 6 | | 0.125 |
2/22 | at Timber Creek (17-2) | FL Dist 6 | 77.8 | 5 | L | 7- | 19 | | 0.000 |
2/25 | at Lake Howell (7-6) | FL Dist 3 | 69.0 | | L | 12- | 20 | | -0.075 |
2/27 | at Apopka (2-13) | FL Dist 4 | 59.9 | | W | 12- | 5 | | 0.200 |
2/28 | at Flagler Palm Coast (8-8) | FL Dist 2 | 67.0 | | W | 10- | 7 | | 0.325 |
3/05 | at West Orange (13-6) | FL Dist 5 | 71.7 | | L | 5- | 21 | | 0.000 |
3/06 | WINTER SPRINGS (14-5) | FL Dist 3 | 78.2 | 4 | L | 3- | 15 | | 0.000 |
3/13 | HAGERTY (1-13) | FL Dist 3 | 61.6 | | W | 9- | 8 | 2ot | 0.125 |
3/18 | LAKE BRANTLEY (18-4) | FL Dist 4 | 80.7 | 3 | L | 5- | 19 | | 0.000 |
3/20 | SEMINOLE (1-11) | FL Dist 3 | 56.4 | | W | 11- | 3 | | 0.025 |
3/25 | at Hagerty (1-13) | FL Dist 3 | 61.6 | | L | 6- | 7 | | -0.275 |
3/26 | at Dr. Phillips (6-9) | FL Dist 7 | 63.4 | | L | 7- | 8 | | -0.275 |
4/01 | vs. Lake Mary # (8-8) | FL Dist 4 | 71.6 | | L | 7- | 20 | | 0.000 |
| # Neutral site | | 69.2 | | | | | | 0.15 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
2/05 | H | Lake Mary | 8- | 21 | -13 | -9 | – | -1.78 | -3.97 | |
2/07 | A | Oviedo | 6- | 18 | -12 | -14 | + | 1.78 | 2.36 | |
2/19 | A | Seminole | 16- | 6 | 10 | 5 | ++ | 1.78 | 4.93 | |
2/22 | A | Timber Creek | 7- | 19 | -12 | -14 | | 1.78 | 1.79 | |
2/25 | A | Lake Howell | 12- | 20 | -8 | -7 | | 1.78 | -1.40 | |
2/27 | A | Apopka | 12- | 5 | 7 | 2 | ++ | 1.78 | 5.45 | |
2/28 | A | Flagler Palm Coast | 10- | 7 | 3 | -3 | +++ | 1.78 | 6.49 | |
3/05 | A | West Orange | 5- | 21 | -16 | -11 | –– | 1.78 | -4.59 | |
3/06 | H | Winter Springs | 3- | 15 | -12 | -12 | | -1.78 | -0.04 | |
3/13 | H | Hagerty | 9- | 8 | 1 | 5 | – | -1.78 | -3.84 | |
3/18 | H | Lake Brantley | 5- | 19 | -14 | -14 | | -1.78 | 0.26 | |
3/20 | H | Seminole | 11- | 3 | 8 | 9 | | -1.78 | -0.63 | |
3/25 | A | Hagerty | 6- | 7 | -1 | 1 | – | 1.78 | -2.28 | |
3/26 | A | Dr. Phillips | 7- | 8 | -1 | 1 | – | 1.78 | -2.34 | |
4/01 | N | Lake Mary | 7- | 20 | -13 | -11 | – | 0.00 | -2.19 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
2/05 | H | Lake Mary | 8- | 21 | 3.00 |
2/07 | A | Oviedo | 6- | 18 | -2.36 |
2/19 | A | Seminole | 16- | 6 | 0.00 |
2/22 | A | Timber Creek | 7- | 19 | -1.79 |
3/05 | A | West Orange | 5- | 21 | 4.59 |
3/06 | H | Winter Springs | 3- | 15 | 0.04 |
3/18 | H | Lake Brantley | 5- | 19 | -0.26 |
4/01 | N | Lake Mary | 7- | 20 | 2.19 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.36 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 65. | | Natl CCR Rank | 1417 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 65.52 | | Natl Power Rank | 1417 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 58.89 | | Natl SOS Rank | 1219 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.15 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 830 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.33 | | W-L Pct Rank | 1405 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 5-10 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | -4.9 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -12.7 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -12.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 0-7 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -13.1 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -5.0 |
|
