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James Madison Warhawks (6-7)

Region: VA Lbrty

State: VA

Coach: Amanda Counts

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/12	at Westfield, VA (12-6)	VA Cncrd	79.3		L	9-	21		-0.025
3/26	YORKTOWN, VA (11-5)	VA Natl	72.2		W	11-	9	ot	0.150
4/01	THOMAS JEFFERSON S&T (10-5)	VA Lbrty	73.6		L	5-	11		-0.300
4/05	STONE BRIDGE (14-2)	VA Lbrty	81.9	7	L	8-	21		-0.100
4/08	at W.T. Woodson (11-5)	VA Lbrty	79.5		L	11-	18		0.000
4/10	GEORGE C. MARSHALL (4-11)	VA Lbrty	67.2		W	15-	10		0.075
4/14	at McLean, VA (3-7)	VA Lbrty	67.9		W	18-	7		0.175
4/17	LANGLEY (7-7)	VA Lbrty	74.8		L	7-	14		-0.200
4/30	at South Lakes (0-10)	VA Lbrty	63.8		W	15-	4		0.100
5/05	at Thomas Jefferson S&T (10-5)	VA Lbrty	73.6		W	13-	12		0.325
5/07	vs. Stone Bridge # (14-2)	VA Lbrty	81.9	7	L	7-	21		-0.050
5/13	at Annandale (15-3)	VA Pat	76.2		W	11-	10		0.400
5/15	at Westfield, VA (12-6)	VA Cncrd	79.3		L	13-	17		-0.025
# Neutral site			77.4						0.53

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/12	A	Westfield, VA	9-	21	-12	-9	–	2.28	-2.77
3/26	H	Yorktown, VA	11-	9	2	4		-2.28	-1.90
4/01	H	Thomas Jefferson S&T	5-	11	-6	2	–––	-2.28	-7.79
4/05	H	Stone Bridge	8-	21	-13	-6	–––	-2.28	-7.01
4/08	A	W.T. Woodson	11-	18	-7	-10	+	2.28	2.93
4/10	H	George C. Marshall	15-	10	5	7	–	-2.28	-2.27
4/14	A	McLean, VA	18-	7	11	3	+++	2.28	8.16
4/17	H	Langley	7-	14	-7	-2	––	-2.28	-5.22
4/30	A	South Lakes	15-	4	11	6	++	2.28	5.16
5/05	A	Thomas Jefferson S&T	13-	12	1	-3	+	2.28	3.78
5/07	N	Stone Bridge	7-	21	-14	-8	––	0.00	-5.73
5/13	A	Annandale	11-	10	1	-6	+++	2.28	7.44
5/15	A	Westfield, VA	13-	17	-4	-9	++	2.28	5.23
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/12	A	Westfield, VA	9-	21	2.00
4/05	H	Stone Bridge	8-	21	3.00
4/14	A	McLean, VA	18-	7	-1.00
4/30	A	South Lakes	15-	4	-1.00
5/07	N	Stone Bridge	7-	21	4.00
10-goal correction: 0.54

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	73.		Natl CCR Rank	780
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	72.72		Natl Power Rank	780
Natl SOS Rating	71.14		Natl SOS Rank	375
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.53		Natl Quality Win Rank	427
W-L Pct Rating	0.46		W-L Pct Rank	1130
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	6-7		Ave Goal diff (all )	-2.5
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-13.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	1-6		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-8.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-5.7


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