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Manchester-Essex Hornets (6-8)

Region: MA No D2

State: MA

Coach: Sarah Solch

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/03	MASCONOMET (14-4)	MA No D1	78.1		L	6-	20		-0.100
4/07	at Hamilton-Wenham (6-8)	MA No D2	67.9		L	7-	8		-0.225
4/10	NEWBURYPORT (1-12)	MA No D2	56.7		W	12-	5		0.100
4/16	NORTH ANDOVER (20-2)	MA No D2	79.5		L	6-	10		-0.150
4/17	at Triton, MA (12-7)	MA No D2	70.4		L	10-	11	2ot	-0.225
5/01	WILMINGTON (0-12)	MA No D2	50.5			-
5/05	at North Reading (3-10)	MA No D2	59.8		W	18-	11		0.175
5/07	GEORGETOWN, MA (13-6)	MA No D2	74.2		W	13-	8		0.275
5/09	NORTH READING (3-10)	MA No D2	59.8		W	17-	7		0.150
5/12	at Georgetown, MA (13-6)	MA No D2	74.2		L	6-	11		-0.175
5/15	IPSWICH (8-8)	MA No D2	69.3		L	16-	22		-0.225
5/19	at Ipswich (8-8)	MA No D2	69.3		L	7-	17		-0.175
5/20	TRITON, MA (12-7)	MA No D2	70.4		W	15-	8		0.225
5/21	at Pentucket Regional (11-9)	MA No D2	68.1		W	9-	8		0.275
5/22	at Wilmington (0-12)	MA No D2	50.5			-
5/27	at Arlington HS, MA (12-6)	MA No D2	76.1		L	6-	11		-0.150
			74.4						-0.22

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/03	H	Masconomet	6-	20	-14	-6	–––	-0.92	-8.37
4/07	A	Hamilton-Wenham	7-	8	-1	-1		0.92	-0.03
4/10	H	Newburyport	12-	5	7	6		-0.92	0.66
4/16	H	North Andover	6-	10	-4	-4		-0.92	-0.17
4/17	A	Triton, MA	10-	11	-1	-1		0.92	-0.07
5/05	A	North Reading	18-	11	7	3	++	0.92	4.41
5/07	H	Georgetown, MA	13-	8	5	-1	++	-0.92	5.72
5/09	H	North Reading	17-	7	10	4	++	-0.92	5.58
5/12	A	Georgetown, MA	6-	11	-5	-3	–	0.92	-2.45
5/15	H	Ipswich	16-	22	-6	-1	––	-0.92	-5.28
5/19	A	Ipswich	7-	17	-10	-3	–––	0.92	-7.45
5/20	H	Triton, MA	15-	8	7	1	+++	-0.92	6.10
5/21	A	Pentucket Regional	9-	8	1	-1	+	0.92	2.43
5/27	A	Arlington HS, MA	6-	11	-5	-4		0.92	-1.08
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/03	H	Masconomet	6-	20	4.00
5/09	H	North Reading	17-	7	0.00
5/19	A	Ipswich	7-	17	0.00
10-goal correction: 0.29

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	67.		Natl CCR Rank	1216
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	68.03		Natl Power Rank	1216
Natl SOS Rating	66.13		Natl SOS Rank	654
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.22		Natl Quality Win Rank	1507
W-L Pct Rating	0.43		W-L Pct Rank	1200
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	6-8		Ave Goal diff (all )	-0.6
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-9.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	1.0


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