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Mainland Regional Mustangs (5-8)

Region: NJ Cape

State: NJ

Coach: Bernadette Daley

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/02	at Millville (8-6)	NJ Cape	67.4		L	5-	7		-0.200
4/09	at Middle Township (6-7)	NJ Cape	65.6		L	11-	14		-0.200
4/11	at Ocean City (10-7)	NJ Cape	68.3		L	3-	11		-0.125
4/14	OLMA, NJ (0-14)	NJ Cape	53.2		W	16-	3		0.000
4/18	at OLMA, NJ (0-14)	NJ Cape	53.2		W	15-	4		0.000
4/21	at Winslow (2-14)	NJ OC Pat	61.0		L	8-	10		-0.275
4/23	LOWER CAPE MAY (2-6)	NJ Cape	58.7		W	19-	8		0.025
4/25	at Millville (8-6)	NJ Cape	67.4		L	8-	10		-0.200
4/30	MIDDLE TOWNSHIP (6-7)	NJ Cape	65.6		L	7-	8		-0.300
5/02	BARNEGAT (2-14)	NJ Indep	59.5		W	16-	7		0.100
5/07	OCEAN CITY (10-7)	NJ Cape	68.3		W	10-	8		0.275
5/10	LENAPE (15-6)	NJ OC Ame	78.5		L	7-	16		0.000
5/14	at Rancocas Valley (2-11)	NJ BuCo	65.9		L	11-	13		-0.125
5/16	at Lower Cape May (2-6)	NJ Cape	58.7			-
			69.3						-1.02

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/02	A	Millville	5-	7	-2	-2		1.82	0.07
4/09	A	Middle Township	11-	14	-3	-2		1.82	-1.14
4/11	A	Ocean City	3-	11	-8	-5	–	1.82	-3.22
4/14	H	OLMA, NJ	16-	3	13	15		-1.82	-1.94
4/18	A	OLMA, NJ	15-	4	11	11		1.82	-0.31
4/21	A	Winslow	8-	10	-2	1	–	1.82	-2.85
4/23	H	Lower Cape May	19-	8	11	9		-1.82	1.98
4/25	A	Millville	8-	10	-2	-2		1.82	0.07
4/30	H	Middle Township	7-	8	-1	2	–	-1.82	-2.77
5/02	H	Barnegat	16-	7	9	6	+	-1.82	2.87
5/07	H	Ocean City	10-	8	2	-1	+	-1.82	3.15
5/10	H	Lenape	7-	16	-9	-10		-1.82	1.46
5/14	A	Rancocas Valley	11-	13	-2	-5	+	1.82	2.63
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/14	H	OLMA, NJ	16-	3	1.94
4/18	A	OLMA, NJ	15-	4	0.31
4/23	H	Lower Cape May	19-	8	-1.00
10-goal correction: 0.10

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	64.		Natl CCR Rank	1495
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	64.40		Natl Power Rank	1495
Natl SOS Rating	58.92		Natl SOS Rank	1218
Natl Quality Win Rating	-1.02		Natl Quality Win Rank	2245
W-L Pct Rating	0.38		W-L Pct Rank	1318
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	5-8		Ave Goal diff (all )	1.3
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (2nd 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 20)
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-3.0


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