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Manual Reddawgs (19-5 - 1)

Region: KYState: KYCoach: Steve Auden

DateOpponentConferencePRTop 10Score QWF
3/15at Cathedral, IN (11-6)IN67.2W7- 3 0.125  
3/15at Ursuline Academy, OH (9-6)OH S-D174.7W4- 3 0.300  
3/20at Assumption (5-4)KY66.45W9- 2 0.075  
3/22at Mariemont (7-6)OH S-D175.0L5-13 -0.200  
3/22at Mason, OH (12-7)OH S-D177.3L4- 9 -0.125  
3/24CENTURIONS CLUB (0-7)KY47.7W15- 2 0.000  
3/25at Mercy Academy, KY (7-5)KY68.53W7- 4 0.175  
3/30vs. Hoover # (1-1)AL63.0W13- 0 0.000  
3/30vs. Mountain Brook # (0-1)AL56.2W10- 0 0.000  
4/01OLDHAM COUNTY (1-9)KY51.310W19- 1 0.000  
4/15at Sacred Heart Acad, KY (8-8)KY62.88W11- 0 0.025  
4/16MALE CLUB (5-6)KY63.47W17- 3 0.000  
4/17at Lexington Club (1-6)KY52.39W21- 3 0.000  
4/19at Indian Hill, OH (2-15)OH S-D166.4W12- 7 0.100  
4/19at St. Ursula, Cincinatti (8-11)OH S-D171.3W11- 4 0.225  
4/21at Eastern, KY (0-5)KY42.5W19- 3 0.000  
4/22BALLARD (5-6)KY65.86W10- 3 0.050  
4/26at Kentucky Country Day (16-3)KY76.61L6-13 -0.100  
4/27vs. Collegiate, KY # (6-6)KY67.24W10- 8 0.125  
4/29at Collegiate, KY (6-6)KY67.24W10- 3 0.175  
5/03vs. Seton # (15-5)OH S-D272.0W10- 4 0.200  
5/03vs. St. Ursula, Toledo # (16-2)OH NW-D274.7L4- 7 -0.225  
5/07KENTUCKY COUNTRY DAY (16-3)KY76.61T10-10 0.000  
5/12vs. Mercy Academy, KY # (7-5)KY68.53W11- 3 0.125  
5/15vs. Kentucky Country Day # (16-3)KY76.61L7- 8 -0.150  
# Neutral site 66.5     0.90  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/15ACathedral, IN7-34   5       1.88       -1.13
3/15AUrsuline Academy, OH4-31   -2       +1.58       3.13
3/20AAssumption9-27   7       2.40       0.46
3/22AMariemont5-13-8   -2       ––1.58       -5.61
3/22AMason, OH4-9-5   -5       1.58       -0.30
3/24HCenturions Club15-213   21       –––-2.40       -8.09
3/25AMercy Academy, KY7-43   3       2.40       0.21
3/30NHoover13-013   11       0.00       1.86
3/30NMountain Brook10-010   18       –––0.00       -8.00
4/01HOldham County19-118   20       -2.40       -2.39
4/15ASacred Heart Acad, KY11-011   9       +2.40       2.02
4/16HMale Club17-314   13       -2.40       0.73
4/17ALexington Club21-318   15       +2.40       3.06
4/19AIndian Hill, OH12-75   6       1.58       -1.16
4/19ASt. Ursula, Cincinatti11-47   1       ++1.58       5.74
4/21AEastern, KY19-316   19       2.40       -2.98
4/22HBallard10-37   8       -2.40       -1.15
4/26AKentucky Country Day6-13-7   -6       2.40       -0.68
4/27NCollegiate, KY10-82   5       0.00       -2.92
4/29ACollegiate, KY10-37   3       ++2.40       4.49
5/03NSeton10-46   2       +0.00       3.82
5/03NSt. Ursula, Toledo4-7-3   -1       0.00       -2.46
5/07HKentucky Country Day10-100   -2       -2.40       1.51
5/12NMercy Academy, KY11-38   5       +0.00       2.81
5/15NKentucky Country Day7-8-1   -4       +0.00       2.91
         0.00-4.11

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/24HCenturions Club15-28.09
3/30NHoover13-0-1.86
3/30NMountain Brook10-08.00
4/01HOldham County19-12.39
4/15ASacred Heart Acad, KY11-0-1.00
4/16HMale Club17-3-0.73
4/17ALexington Club21-3-3.06
4/21AEastern, KY19-32.98
10-goal correction: 0.59

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 74.   Natl CCR Rank 656
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 74.17   Natl Power Rank 656
Natl SOS Rating 54.78   Natl SOS Rank 1540
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.90   Natl Quality Win Rank 196
W-L Pct Rating 0.78   W-L Pct Rank 267
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 19-5   Ave Goal diff (all ) 5.8
Wins/Losses (top 5) 5-2   Ave Goal diff (top 5) 2.4
Wins/Losses (top 10) 10-2   Ave Goal diff (top 10) 6.7
Wins/Losses (top 20) 12-2   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 7.7
Wins/Losses (last 3) 1-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 2.3



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