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Manasquan Warriors (7-10)

Region: NJ SC B

State: NJ

Coach: Maria Eldridge

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/03	HOLMDEL (6-8)	NJ CJ Bdm	69.9		W	10-	9		0.250
4/08	RUMSON-FAIR HAVEN (14-4)	NJ SC B	84.4		L	6-	17		0.000
4/10	at St. Rose (5-11)	NJ SC B	68.8		W	11-	10		0.325
4/15	at St. John Vianney (4-10)	NJ Indep	68.9		W	12-	7		0.325
4/17	SHORE REGIONAL (20-2)	NJ SC B	88.9	5	L	3-	17		0.000
4/19	at Point Pleasant Boro (4-10)	NJ Indep	62.7		W	17-	9		0.100
4/22	at Holmdel (6-8)	NJ CJ Bdm	69.9		L	11-	12		-0.175
4/24	RUMSON-FAIR HAVEN (14-4)	NJ SC B	84.4		L	6-	19		0.000
4/26	ST. ROSE (5-11)	NJ SC B	68.8		L	5-	7		-0.275
4/29	ST. JOHN VIANNEY (4-10)	NJ Indep	68.9		L	11-	12		-0.250
5/01	at Shore Regional (20-2)	NJ SC B	88.9	5	L	4-	17		0.000
5/03	BRICK MEMORIAL (7-10)	NJ SC A S	65.4		W	16-	8		0.075
5/05	at Colts Neck (10-9)	NJ SC A N	68.8		W	9-	8		0.300
5/06	HOLMDEL (6-8)	NJ CJ Bdm	69.9			-
5/09	at Manalapan (1-15)	NJ SC A N	59.0		W	14-	5		0.025
5/12	at Red Bank Regional (11-5)	NJ SC A N	72.6			-
5/13	WALL TOWNSHIP (3-11)	NJ Indep	63.3		L	8-	13		-0.450
5/14	at Monmouth Regional (9-6)	NJ SC A N	67.2			-
5/15	at Freehold Township (14-1)	NJ SC A N	78.7		L	11-	21		-0.050
5/17	at Cinnaminson (12-5)	NJ BuCo	76.4		L	6-	18		-0.075
			78.3						0.12

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/03	H	Holmdel	10-	9	1	0		-1.82	0.72
4/08	H	Rumson-Fair Haven	6-	17	-11	-11		-1.82	0.07
4/10	A	St. Rose	11-	10	1	-3	++	1.82	4.09
4/15	A	St. John Vianney	12-	7	5	-3	+++	1.82	8.14
4/17	H	Shore Regional	3-	17	-14	-13		-1.82	-0.54
4/19	A	Point Pleasant Boro	17-	9	8	6		1.82	1.97
4/22	A	Holmdel	11-	12	-1	-3	+	1.82	2.35
4/24	H	Rumson-Fair Haven	6-	19	-13	-11		-1.82	-1.93
4/26	H	St. Rose	5-	7	-2	1	–	-1.82	-2.54
4/29	H	St. John Vianney	11-	12	-1	0		-1.82	-1.49
5/01	A	Shore Regional	4-	17	-13	-17	++	1.82	4.09
5/03	H	Brick Memorial	16-	8	8	7		-1.82	1.17
5/05	A	Colts Neck	9-	8	1	-2	+	1.82	2.80
5/09	A	Manalapan	14-	5	9	9		1.82	0.27
5/13	H	Wall Township	8-	13	-5	8	–––	-1.82	12.53
5/15	A	Freehold Township	11-	21	-10	-8	–	1.82	-2.06
5/17	A	Cinnaminson	6-	18	-12	-7	––	1.82	-4.57
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/08	H	Rumson-Fair Haven	6-	17	-0.07
4/17	H	Shore Regional	3-	17	0.54
4/24	H	Rumson-Fair Haven	6-	19	1.93
5/01	A	Shore Regional	4-	17	-4.09
5/15	A	Freehold Township	11-	21	0.00
5/17	A	Cinnaminson	6-	18	2.00
10-goal correction: 0.02

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	69.		Natl CCR Rank	1109
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	68.84		Natl Power Rank	1109
Natl SOS Rating	73.30		Natl SOS Rank	277
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.12		Natl Quality Win Rank	873
W-L Pct Rating	0.41		W-L Pct Rank	1249
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	7-10		Ave Goal diff (all )	-2.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-13.5
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-13.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-12.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-9.0


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