| Region: PA LLL | State: PA | Coach: Lisa Lyons |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/24 | A | Hempfield, Landisville | 10- | 11 | -1 | 0 | | 0.74 | -1.25 | |
3/27 | A | Penn Manor | 14- | 21 | -7 | -1 | ––– | 0.74 | -6.46 | |
4/01 | A | Cedar Crest | 17- | 5 | 12 | 14 | | 0.74 | -1.55 | |
4/04 | H | Lancaster CDS, PA | 19- | 7 | 12 | 11 | | -0.74 | 0.66 | |
4/08 | A | Ephrata | 21- | 6 | 15 | 11 | ++ | 0.74 | 4.41 | |
4/10 | H | Lampeter-Strasburg | 16- | 9 | 7 | 9 | | -0.74 | -1.91 | |
4/15 | A | Cocalico | 13- | 10 | 3 | 2 | | 0.74 | 1.03 | |
4/17 | A | Central Dauphin East | 18- | 4 | 14 | 12 | | 0.74 | 1.95 | |
4/18 | A | Carlisle | 16- | 11 | 5 | 3 | | 0.74 | 1.64 | |
4/21 | H | Warwick, PA | 11- | 11 | 0 | 1 | | -0.74 | -0.65 | |
4/23 | A | Conestoga Valley | 13- | 12 | 1 | 2 | | 0.74 | -0.85 | |
4/25 | H | Central Dauphin | 19- | 7 | 12 | 10 | + | -0.74 | 2.41 | |
4/28 | A | Hempfield, Landisville | 14- | 11 | 3 | 0 | + | 0.74 | 2.75 | |
4/30 | H | Penn Manor | 15- | 14 | 1 | 1 | | -0.74 | 0.05 | |
5/02 | A | Lancaster CDS, PA | 18- | 5 | 13 | 10 | + | 0.74 | 3.15 | |
5/06 | H | Cedar Crest | 20- | 6 | 14 | 15 | | -0.74 | -1.03 | |
5/09 | H | Conestoga Valley | 10- | 11 | -1 | 3 | –– | -0.74 | -4.34 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
4/01 | A | Cedar Crest | 17- | 5 | 1.55 |
4/04 | H | Lancaster CDS, PA | 19- | 7 | -0.66 |
4/08 | A | Ephrata | 21- | 6 | -4.41 |
4/17 | A | Central Dauphin East | 18- | 4 | -1.95 |
4/25 | H | Central Dauphin | 19- | 7 | -2.41 |
5/02 | A | Lancaster CDS, PA | 18- | 5 | -3.15 |
5/06 | H | Cedar Crest | 20- | 6 | 1.03 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.59 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 79. | | Natl CCR Rank | 335 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 78.41 | | Natl Power Rank | 335 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 61.09 | | Natl SOS Rank | 1046 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.28 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 658 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.79 | | W-L Pct Rank | 240 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 13-3 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 6.1 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 1-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -2.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 3-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -0.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 10-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 4.4 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 8.7 |
|
