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Marist, GA War Eagles (16-3)

Region: GA A2

State: GA

Coach: Kelly Crowe

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
2/20	CHATTAHOOCHEE (14-5)	GA A4	77.7	4	L	6-	16		-0.150
2/21	GREATER ATLANTA CHRIST (4-12)	GA A4	55.0		W	19-	4		0.000
2/25	RIVERWOOD (6-10)	GA A3	64.3		W	12-	5		0.000
3/11	DECATUR (10-7)	GA A2	64.3		W	15-	3		0.000
3/13	at Alpharetta (10-6)	GA A4	71.7		W	15-	8		0.225
3/17	at Wesleyan School (5-11)	GA A4	61.5		W	16-	6		0.000
3/18	ROCKDALE COUNTY (4-10)	GA A2	55.7		W	21-	1		0.000
3/26	HOLY INNOCENTS (6-11)	GA A3	60.4		W	18-	2		0.000
3/29	at Greenbrier (1-8)	GA A2	46.3		W	18-	1		0.000
3/29	at Lakeside, Evans (2-7)	GA A2	50.3		W	15-	0		0.000
4/02	ST. PIUS X (7-9)	GA A2	65.9		W	12-	6		0.075
4/14	CENTENNIAL, GA (10-8)	GA A4	71.8		W	18-	6		0.175
4/15	LASSITER (12-8)	GA A7	74.4	9	W	12-	8		0.200
4/18	at South Forsyth (13-5)	GA A6	74.9	8	W	12-	3		0.275
4/22	at Kennesaw Mountain (15-3)	GA A5	75.1	7	W	10-	7		0.275
4/24	MILTON, GA (17-5)	GA A6	80.2	1	L	8-	20		-0.050
4/29	SPRAYBERRY (7-11)	GA A7	63.1		W	15-	9		0.000
5/02	at Columbus, GA (14-5)	GA A1	70.6		W	13-	9		0.175
5/06	WESTMINSTER SCHOOL, GA (20-2)	GA A3	77.9	3	L	12-	13	ot	-0.175
			63.4						1.02

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/20	H	Chattahoochee	6-	16	-10	-4	––	-1.70	-5.96
2/21	H	Greater Atlanta Christ	19-	4	15	19	––	-1.70	-4.33
2/25	H	Riverwood	12-	5	7	10	–	-1.70	-2.75
3/11	H	Decatur	15-	3	12	12		-1.70	-0.39
3/13	A	Alpharetta	15-	8	7	1	++	1.70	5.56
3/17	A	Wesleyan School	16-	6	10	10		1.70	0.30
3/18	H	Rockdale County	21-	1	20	20		-1.70	0.11
3/26	H	Holy Innocents	18-	2	16	15		-1.70	1.40
3/29	A	Greenbrier	18-	1	17	23	–––	1.70	-6.32
3/29	A	Lakeside, Evans	15-	0	15	20	––	1.70	-4.97
4/02	H	St. Pius X	12-	6	6	7		-1.70	-1.33
4/14	H	Centennial, GA	18-	6	12	3	+++	-1.70	8.94
4/15	H	Lassiter	12-	8	4	2		-1.70	1.68
4/18	A	South Forsyth	12-	3	9	-1	+++	1.70	10.40
4/22	A	Kennesaw Mountain	10-	7	3	-1	+	1.70	3.70
4/24	H	Milton, GA	8-	20	-12	-8	–	-1.70	-3.95
4/29	H	Sprayberry	15-	9	6	12	––	-1.70	-5.84
5/02	A	Columbus, GA	13-	9	4	3		1.70	1.37
5/06	H	Westminster School, GA	12-	13	-1	-3	+	-1.70	2.38
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
2/20	H	Chattahoochee	6-	16	0.00
2/21	H	Greater Atlanta Christ	19-	4	4.33
3/11	H	Decatur	15-	3	0.39
3/17	A	Wesleyan School	16-	6	-0.30
3/18	H	Rockdale County	21-	1	-0.11
3/26	H	Holy Innocents	18-	2	-1.40
3/29	A	Greenbrier	18-	1	6.32
3/29	A	Lakeside, Evans	15-	0	4.97
4/14	H	Centennial, GA	18-	6	-2.00
4/24	H	Milton, GA	8-	20	2.00
10-goal correction: 0.75

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	76.		Natl CCR Rank	505
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	76.12		Natl Power Rank	505
Natl SOS Rating	51.52		Natl SOS Rank	1841
Natl Quality Win Rating	1.02		Natl Quality Win Rank	152
W-L Pct Rating	0.84		W-L Pct Rank	153
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	16-3		Ave Goal diff (all )	7.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-7.7
Wins/Losses (top 10)	3-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-1.2
Wins/Losses (top 20)	6-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	1.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	3.0


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