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Marblehead Magicians (16-4)

Region: MA No D2

State: MA

Coach: Carolyn Coyle

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/08	at St. Mary's, MA (11-8)	MA No D2	62.7		W	9-	4		0.125
4/09	GLOUCESTER (2-13)	MA No D1	50.7		W	13-	4		0.000
4/11	at North Andover (20-2)	MA No D2	79.5		L	6-	9		-0.150
4/15	at Danvers (3-12)	MA No D2	52.7		W	13-	6		0.025
4/19	at Reading Memorial (14-5)	MA No D1	78.3		L	8-	17		-0.100
4/23	BEVERLY (11-6)	MA No D1	70.6		W	12-	10		0.175
4/24	HAMILTON-WENHAM (6-8)	MA No D2	67.9		W	14-	13	2ot	0.175
5/01	SALEM, MA (7-6)	MA No D1	68.8		W	10-	9		0.200
5/05	at Peabody Veterans Mem. (7-9)	MA No D1	62.8		W	11-	7		0.125
5/06	SWAMPSCOTT (3-9)	MA No D2	56.8		W	17-	4		0.025
5/08	at Salem, MA (7-6)	MA No D1	68.8		W	13-	11	ot	0.225
5/12	ST. MARY'S, MA (11-8)	MA No D2	62.7		W	15-	7		0.075
5/13	MASCONOMET (14-4)	MA No D1	78.1		L	14-	20		-0.150
5/14	at Beverly (11-6)	MA No D1	70.6		W	13-	11		0.225
5/17	at Georgetown, MA (13-6)	MA No D2	74.2		W	18-	12		0.275
5/19	AUSTIN PREP (7-9)	MA No D2	54.1		W	20-	3		0.000
5/20	PEABODY VETERANS MEM. (7-9)	MA No D1	62.8		W	15-	9		0.100
5/21	IPSWICH (8-8)	MA No D2	69.3		W	11-	8		0.225
5/27	BELMONT (7-7)	MA No D2	69.5		W	11-	9		0.175
5/31	vs. Winchester # (20-1)	MA No D2	84.5	4	L	8-	20		-0.075
# Neutral site			74.0						1.67

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/08	A	St. Mary's, MA	9-	4	5	5		0.92	-0.27
4/09	H	Gloucester	13-	4	9	12	–	-0.92	-3.31
4/11	A	North Andover	6-	9	-3	-4		0.92	0.80
4/15	A	Danvers	13-	6	7	9		0.92	-1.60
4/19	A	Reading Memorial	8-	17	-9	-6	–	0.92	-3.07
4/23	H	Beverly	12-	10	2	3		-0.92	-1.07
4/24	H	Hamilton-Wenham	14-	13	1	3		-0.92	-1.72
5/01	H	Salem, MA	10-	9	1	2		-0.92	-1.46
5/05	A	Peabody Veterans Mem.	11-	7	4	5		0.92	-0.59
5/06	H	Swampscott	17-	4	13	9	+	-0.92	3.71
5/08	A	Salem, MA	13-	11	2	1		0.92	1.37
5/12	H	St. Mary's, MA	15-	7	8	7		-0.92	0.90
5/13	H	Masconomet	14-	20	-6	-4	–	-0.92	-2.24
5/14	A	Beverly	13-	11	2	1		0.92	0.76
5/17	A	Georgetown, MA	18-	12	6	-1	+++	0.92	6.68
5/19	H	Austin Prep	20-	3	17	12	++	-0.92	4.78
5/20	H	Peabody Veterans Mem.	15-	9	6	6		-0.92	-0.42
5/21	H	Ipswich	11-	8	3	1		-0.92	1.85
5/27	H	Belmont	11-	9	2	3		-0.92	-0.57
5/31	N	Winchester	8-	20	-12	-7	––	0.00	-4.55
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
5/06	H	Swampscott	17-	4	-3.00
5/19	H	Austin Prep	20-	3	-4.78
5/31	N	Winchester	8-	20	2.00
10-goal correction: -0.29

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	75.		Natl CCR Rank	558
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	75.78		Natl Power Rank	558
Natl SOS Rating	65.90		Natl SOS Rank	676
Natl Quality Win Rating	1.67		Natl Quality Win Rank	39
W-L Pct Rating	0.80		W-L Pct Rank	227
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	16-4		Ave Goal diff (all )	2.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-12.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-12.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-7.5
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-2.3


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