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Maryvale Prep Lions (5-11)

Region: MD IAAM A

State: MD

Coach: Erin Stuart

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/19	SEVERN SCHOOL (12-6)	MD IAAM A	92.4	3		-
3/25	at North Harford (9-8)	MD 2A	83.7		W	16-	10		0.200
3/26	at St. Paul's SG, MD (7-12)	MD IAAM A	87.2	9	W	14-	11		0.300
3/28	BRYN MAWR SG (9-7)	MD IAAM A	89.6	7	L	8-	10		-0.175
3/31	at Archbishop Spalding (13-6)	MD IAAM A	90.9	5	L	9-	11		-0.150
4/02	at Dulaney (13-4)	MD 4A	86.0		L	8-	9		-0.250
4/07	SEVERN SCHOOL (12-6)	MD IAAM A	92.4	3	L	7-	13		-0.125
4/09	at Mercy, MD (4-11)	MD IAAM A	84.6		L	8-	9		-0.250
4/11	MCDONOGH SCHOOL (18-3)	MD IAAM A	95.6	2	L	5-	17		-0.075
4/14	MOUNT DE SALES (8-10)	MD IAAM A	86.2		L	8-	9		-0.275
4/15	ROLAND PARK COUNTRY (7-7)	MD IAAM A	89.3	8	W	15-	14		0.325
4/17	at John Carroll School (18-0)	MD IAAM A	98.7	1	L	2-	17		0.000
4/18	vs. Glenelg HS # (16-4)	MD 1A	90.5		W	21-	8		0.350
4/19	at Winters Mill (17-2)	MD 2A	88.7		W	13-	12	ot	0.325
4/23	ST. MARY'S, MD (13-8)	MD IAAM A	90.7	6	L	5-	18		-0.150
4/25	at Seton Keough (3-13)	MD IAAM A	82.5			-
4/30	at Notre Dame Prep, MD (13-7)	MD IAAM A	91.2	4	L	8-	9		-0.100
5/02	at St. Mary's, MD (13-8)	MD IAAM A	90.7	6	L	7-	8		-0.100
# Neutral site			91.4						-0.15

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/25	A	North Harford	16-	10	6	2	+	0.77		3.53
3/26	A	St. Paul's SG, MD	14-	11	3	-2	++	0.54	5.29
3/28	H	Bryn Mawr SG	8-	10	-2	-3		-0.54	1.45
3/31	A	Archbishop Spalding	9-	11	-2	-4	+	0.54	2.32
4/02	A	Dulaney	8-	9	-1	0		0.77		-1.09
4/07	H	Severn School	7-	13	-6	-5		-0.54	-1.10
4/09	A	Mercy, MD	8-	9	-1	0		0.54	-0.78
4/11	H	McDonogh School	5-	17	-12	-7	––	-0.54	-5.27
4/14	H	Mount de Sales	8-	9	-1	1		-0.54	-1.94
4/15	H	Roland Park Country	15-	14	1	-3	+	-0.54	3.86
4/17	A	John Carroll School	2-	17	-15	-11	––	0.54	-4.47
4/18	N	Glenelg HS	21-	8	13	-4	+++	0.00		16.57
4/19	A	Winters Mill	13-	12	1	-3	+	0.77		3.62
4/23	H	St. Mary's, MD	5-	18	-13	-4	–––	-0.54	-8.55
4/30	A	Notre Dame Prep, MD	8-	9	-1	-6	++	0.54	4.66
5/02	A	St. Mary's, MD	7-	8	-1	-6	++	0.54	4.53
									0.00	22.63

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/11	H	McDonogh School	5-	17	2.00
4/17	A	John Carroll School	2-	17	4.47
4/18	N	Glenelg HS	21-	8	0.00
4/23	H	St. Mary's, MD	5-	18	3.00
10-goal correction: 0.59

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	87.		Natl CCR Rank	73
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	86.89		Natl Power Rank	70
Natl SOS Rating	98.26		Natl SOS Rank	4
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.15		Natl Quality Win Rank	1496
W-L Pct Rating	0.31		W-L Pct Rank	1460
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	5-11		Ave Goal diff (all )	-1.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-7.2
Wins/Losses (top 10)	2-8		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-4.8
Wins/Losses (top 20)	2-10		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-4.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-5.0


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