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Marcellus Mustangs (17-5)

Conference: B1Region: NY C Sec 3State: NYCoach: Dick Lundblad

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/27EAST SYRACUSE-MINOA (12-7)NY B Sec 380.4-    
3/29OSWEGO (5-13)NY A Sec 379.4-    
3/31BINGHAMTON (15-4)NY A Sec 477.6W17-12 0.050  
4/01GENERAL BROWN (7-10)NY C Sec 375.0W20- 2 0.000  
4/03CARTHAGE (18-4)NY B Sec 386.93W14-13ot0.250  
4/07AUBURN (10-9)NY A Sec 383.4W13-12 0.150  
4/09SKANEATELES (19-6)NY C Sec 387.22L8-14 -0.225  
4/15WATERLOO (14-7)NY C Sec 579.2W17- 5 0.075  
4/17at Jordan-Elbridge (2-13)NY C Sec 378.4W14- 2 0.000  
4/22at Westhill (15-5)NY C Sec 386.35L16-23 -0.175  
4/24CAZENOVIA (15-6)NY C Sec 384.19W18-12 0.175  
5/02at Vestal (3-12)NY B Sec 473.8W15- 8 0.000  
5/05NEWARK, NY (4-12)NY C Sec 569.3W20- 5 0.000  
5/07CHRISTIAN BROS ACAD (9-11)NY C Sec 383.4L12-16 -0.300  
5/09at Skaneateles (19-6)NY C Sec 387.22L11-12 -0.175  
5/12at Bishop Ludden (9-9)NY C Sec 381.0W15- 4 0.075  
5/13at Tully (7-10)NY C Sec 378.8W19- 7 0.000  
5/15at Onondaga (4-11)NY C Sec 378.0W22- 6 0.000  
5/16JORDAN-ELBRIDGE (2-13)NY C Sec 378.4W14-10 0.000  
5/19at Rush-Henrietta (13-7)NY A Sec 584.4W12-10 0.250  
5/24MANLIUS-PEBBLE HILL (7-10)NY C Sec 371.9W24- 7 0.000  
5/27CHRISTIAN BROS ACAD (9-11)NY C Sec 383.4W22-11 0.200  
5/29vs. Westhill # (15-5)NY C Sec 386.35W18-17 0.300  
6/01vs. Skaneateles # (19-6)NY C Sec 387.22L11-12 -0.200  
# Neutral site 79.9     0.45  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/31HBinghamton17-125   8       –-0.92       -3.44
4/01HGeneral Brown20-218   18       -0.90       0.01
4/03HCarthage14-131   0       -0.90       1.38
4/07HAuburn13-121   4       –-0.90       -2.89
4/09HSkaneateles8-14-6   -1       ––-0.90       -4.80
4/15HWaterloo17-512   7       ++-0.84       5.22
4/17AJordan-Elbridge14-212   10       0.90       2.00
4/22AWesthill16-23-7   -3       ––0.90       -4.07
4/24HCazenovia18-126   3       +-0.90       2.91
5/02AVestal15-87   10       –0.92       -3.41
5/05HNewark, NY20-515   17       -0.84       -1.67
5/07HChristian Bros Acad12-16-4   2       ––-0.90       -5.93
5/09ASkaneateles11-12-1   -3       0.90       2.00
5/12ABishop Ludden15-411   7       +0.90       3.76
5/13ATully19-712   10       0.90       1.54
5/15AOnondaga22-616   12       ++0.90       4.04
5/16HJordan-Elbridge14-104   12       –––-0.90       -7.80
5/19ARush-Henrietta12-102   0       +0.84       2.08
5/24HManlius-Pebble Hill24-717   22       ––-0.90       -5.34
5/27HChristian Bros Acad22-1111   2       +++-0.90       9.07
5/29NWesthill18-171   -2       +0.00       3.03
6/01NSkaneateles11-12-1   -2       0.00       1.10
         0.00-1.23

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/01HGeneral Brown20-2-0.01
4/15HWaterloo17-5-2.00
4/17AJordan-Elbridge14-2-2.00
5/05HNewark, NY20-51.67
5/12ABishop Ludden15-4-1.00
5/13ATully19-7-1.54
5/15AOnondaga22-6-4.04
5/24HManlius-Pebble Hill24-75.34
5/27HChristian Bros Acad22-11-1.00
10-goal correction: -0.21

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 85.   Natl CCR Rank 105
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 85.13   Natl Power Rank 105
Natl SOS Rating 75.99   Natl SOS Rank 203
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.45   Natl Quality Win Rank 480
W-L Pct Rating 0.77   W-L Pct Rank 288
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 17-5   Ave Goal diff (all ) 6.0
Wins/Losses (top 5) 2-4   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -2.2
Wins/Losses (top 10) 3-4   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -1.0
Wins/Losses (top 20) 6-5   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 1.1
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 3.7



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