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McIntosh Chiefs (14-3)

Region: GA A1

State: GA

Coach: Mike Roache

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
2/27	at St. Pius X (7-9)	GA A2	65.9		W	14-	8		0.250
3/01	NORTHGATE, GA (1-9)	GA A1	55.5		W	21-	4		0.000
3/12	at Northview, GA (15-4)	GA A4	78.1	2	L	3-	20		0.000
3/14	at East Coweta (0-10)	GA A1	50.6		W	20-	5		0.000
3/17	NEWNAN (6-6)	GA A1	63.4		W	16-	8		0.075
3/21	at Starr's Mill (12-4)	GA A1	67.2		W	10-	9		0.250
3/24	at Rockdale County (4-10)	GA A2	55.7		W	17-	2		0.000
3/25	WHITEWATER (6-9)	GA A1	61.4		W	9-	7		0.025
3/29	STARR'S MILL (12-4)	GA A1	67.2		W	11-	6		0.150
4/02	WESLEYAN SCHOOL (5-11)	GA A4	61.5		W	16-	6		0.025
4/04	EAST COWETA (0-10)	GA A1	50.6		W	18-	2		0.000
4/16	at Whitewater (6-9)	GA A1	61.4		W	11-	5		0.125
4/17	at Columbus, GA (14-5)	GA A1	70.6		W	10-	7		0.275
4/19	at Newnan (6-6)	GA A1	63.4		W	13-	2		0.150
4/23	COLUMBUS, GA (14-5)	GA A1	70.6		L	9-	15		-0.300
4/25	NORTHGATE, GA (1-9)	GA A1	55.5		W	14-	3		0.000
4/29	at Walton (9-7)	GA A8	70.8		L	10-	12		-0.175
			60.3						0.85

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/27	A	St. Pius X	14-	8	6	0	+++	1.70	6.06
3/01	H	Northgate, GA	21-	4	17	15	+	-1.70	2.20
3/12	A	Northview, GA	3-	20	-17	-11	––	1.70	-5.97
3/14	A	East Coweta	20-	5	15	16		1.70	-0.73
3/17	H	Newnan	16-	8	8	7		-1.70	0.85
3/21	A	Starr's Mill	10-	9	1	0		1.70	0.79
3/24	A	Rockdale County	17-	2	15	13	+	1.70	2.50
3/25	H	Whitewater	9-	7	2	9	–––	-1.70	-6.57
3/29	H	Starr's Mill	11-	6	5	4		-1.70	1.38
4/02	H	Wesleyan School	16-	6	10	9		-1.70	0.88
4/04	H	East Coweta	18-	2	16	19	–	-1.70	-3.14
4/16	A	Whitewater	11-	5	6	5		1.70	0.83
4/17	A	Columbus, GA	10-	7	3	-1	++	1.70	4.36
4/19	A	Newnan	13-	2	11	4	+++	1.70	7.26
4/23	H	Columbus, GA	9-	15	-6	2	–––	-1.70	-8.05
4/25	H	Northgate, GA	14-	3	11	15	–	-1.70	-3.80
4/29	A	Walton	10-	12	-2	-3		1.70	1.14
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/01	H	Northgate, GA	21-	4	-2.20
3/12	A	Northview, GA	3-	20	5.97
3/14	A	East Coweta	20-	5	0.73
3/24	A	Rockdale County	17-	2	-2.50
4/02	H	Wesleyan School	16-	6	0.00
4/04	H	East Coweta	18-	2	3.14
4/19	A	Newnan	13-	2	-1.00
4/25	H	Northgate, GA	14-	3	3.80
10-goal correction: 0.47

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	74.		Natl CCR Rank	710
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	73.55		Natl Power Rank	710
Natl SOS Rating	47.24		Natl SOS Rank	2067
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.85		Natl Quality Win Rank	228
W-L Pct Rating	0.82		W-L Pct Rank	189
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	14-3		Ave Goal diff (all )	5.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-17.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-17.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	3-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-2.7
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	1.0


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