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Mount de Sales Sailors (8-10)

Region: MD IAAM A

State: MD

Coach: Ritch Taylor

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/14	at Holton-Arms School (8-10)	DC ISL A	83.9		W	10-	9	2ot	0.225
3/24	SETON KEOUGH (3-13)	MD IAAM A	82.5		W	13-	9		0.150
3/26	ROLAND PARK COUNTRY (7-7)	MD IAAM A	89.3	8	L	9-	14		-0.175
3/28	ST. PAUL'S SG, MD (7-12)	MD IAAM A	87.2	9	L	8-	12		-0.200
3/31	at St. Mary's, MD (13-8)	MD IAAM A	90.7	6	L	5-	15		-0.100
4/02	ARCHBISHOP SPALDING (13-6)	MD IAAM A	90.9	5	W	8-	7		0.350
4/04	at Severn School (12-6)	MD IAAM A	92.4	3	L	6-	14		-0.100
4/05	INST. OF NOTRE DAME (7-11)	MD IAAM B	71.9		W	14-	2		0.000
4/05	LEONARDTOWN (14-2)	MD 4A	81.9		W	9-	3		0.125
4/08	at Bryn Mawr SG (9-7)	MD IAAM A	89.6	7	L	10-	15		-0.125
4/09	JOHN CARROLL SCHOOL (18-0)	MD IAAM A	98.7	1	L	7-	16		0.000
4/14	at Maryvale Prep (5-11)	MD IAAM A	86.9	10	W	9-	8		0.275
4/16	at Mercy, MD (4-11)	MD IAAM A	84.6		L	9-	12		-0.225
4/18	MCDONOGH SCHOOL (18-3)	MD IAAM A	95.6	2	L	7-	13		-0.075
4/23	NOTRE DAME PREP, MD (13-7)	MD IAAM A	91.2	4	L	11-	12		-0.125
4/24	CATONSVILLE (13-7)	MD 3A	84.4		W	17-	7		0.200
4/30	ATHOLTON (4-9)	MD 2A	77.3		W	12-	6		0.000
5/02	at Bryn Mawr SG (9-7)	MD IAAM A	89.6	7	L	10-	15		-0.125
			89.2						0.08

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/14	A	Holton-Arms School	10-	9	1	1		1.30		0.02
3/24	H	Seton Keough	13-	9	4	4		-0.54	-0.23
3/26	H	Roland Park Country	9-	14	-5	-3		-0.54	-1.74
3/28	H	St. Paul's SG, MD	8-	12	-4	-2	–	-0.54	-2.38
3/31	A	St. Mary's, MD	5-	15	-10	-6	––	0.54	-4.07
4/02	H	Archbishop Spalding	8-	7	1	-4	++	-0.54	4.64
4/04	A	Severn School	6-	14	-8	-6		0.54	-1.62
4/05	H	Inst. of Notre Dame	14-	2	12	15	–	-0.63		-2.86
4/05	H	Leonardtown	9-	3	6	5		-0.77		0.99
4/08	A	Bryn Mawr SG	10-	15	-5	-5		0.54	-0.07
4/09	H	John Carroll School	7-	16	-9	-10		-0.54	0.86
4/14	A	Maryvale Prep	9-	8	1	-1		0.54	1.94
4/16	A	Mercy, MD	9-	12	-3	-1	–	0.54	-2.38
4/18	H	McDonogh School	7-	13	-6	-7		-0.54	1.13
4/23	H	Notre Dame Prep, MD	11-	12	-1	-5	+	-0.54	3.99
4/24	H	Catonsville	17-	7	10	2	+++	-0.77		7.52
4/30	H	Atholton	12-	6	6	10	–	-0.77		-3.62
5/02	A	Bryn Mawr SG	10-	15	-5	-5		0.54	-0.07
									0.00	2.05

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/31	A	St. Mary's, MD	5-	15	0.00
4/05	H	Inst. of Notre Dame	14-	2	2.86
4/24	H	Catonsville	17-	7	0.00
10-goal correction: 0.16

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	86.		Natl CCR Rank	86
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	86.17		Natl Power Rank	84
Natl SOS Rating	94.25		Natl SOS Rank	12
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.08		Natl Quality Win Rank	959
W-L Pct Rating	0.44		W-L Pct Rank	1159
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	8-10		Ave Goal diff (all )	-0.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-4		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-4.6
Wins/Losses (top 10)	2-9		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-4.6
Wins/Losses (top 20)	3-10		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-3.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	3.7


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