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Mercy, MD Magic (4-11)

Region: MD IAAM A

State: MD

Coach: Jen Gray

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/28	at John Carroll School (18-0)	MD IAAM A	98.7	1	L	5-	14		0.000
3/28	at Severn School (12-6)	MD IAAM A	92.4	3	L	8-	14		-0.100
3/29	at Franklin Regional, MD (5-10)	MD 3A	78.7		W	12-	9		0.125
3/31	at St. Paul's SG, MD (7-12)	MD IAAM A	87.2	9	L	7-	9		-0.175
4/02	BRYN MAWR SG (9-7)	MD IAAM A	89.6	7	L	6-	10		-0.150
4/04	at Archbishop Spalding (13-6)	MD IAAM A	90.9	5	L	6-	10		-0.125
4/05	ST. MARY'S, MD (13-8)	MD IAAM A	90.7	6	L	2-	8		-0.125
4/09	MARYVALE PREP (5-11)	MD IAAM A	86.9	10	W	9-	8		0.250
4/14	at McDonogh School (18-3)	MD IAAM A	95.6	2	L	3-	13		-0.050
4/16	MOUNT DE SALES (8-10)	MD IAAM A	86.2		W	12-	9		0.225
4/17	CICERO-NORTH SYRACUSE (10-7)	NY A Sec 3	84.9		W	8-	6		0.250
4/21	at Fallston (9-6)	MD 3A	85.6		L	6-	13		-0.200
4/23	ROLAND PARK COUNTRY (7-7)	MD IAAM A	89.3	8	L	5-	12		-0.175
4/25	at Notre Dame Prep, MD (13-7)	MD IAAM A	91.2	4	L	6-	12		-0.100
4/28	GARRISON FOREST (17-3)	MD IAAM B	84.4			-
5/02	at Archbishop Spalding (13-6)	MD IAAM A	90.9	5	L	8-	12		-0.125
			90.7						-0.48

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/28	A	John Carroll School	5-	14	-9	-11		0.54	1.85
3/28	A	Severn School	8-	14	-6	-6		0.54	0.30
3/29	A	Franklin Regional, MD	12-	9	3	5	–	0.77		-2.18
3/31	A	St. Paul's SG, MD	7-	9	-2	-3		0.54	0.61
4/02	H	Bryn Mawr SG	6-	10	-4	-4		-0.54	-0.23
4/04	A	Archbishop Spalding	6-	10	-4	-5		0.54	0.63
4/05	H	St. Mary's, MD	2-	8	-6	-5		-0.54	-1.23
4/09	H	Maryvale Prep	9-	8	1	0		-0.54	0.78
4/14	A	McDonogh School	3-	13	-10	-8		0.54	-1.88
4/16	H	Mount de Sales	12-	9	3	1	+	-0.54	2.38
4/17	H	Cicero-North Syracuse	8-	6	2	0		-0.72		1.55
4/21	A	Fallston	6-	13	-7	-2	––	0.77		-5.22
4/23	H	Roland Park Country	5-	12	-7	-3	–	-0.54	-3.82
4/25	A	Notre Dame Prep, MD	6-	12	-6	-6		0.54	-0.02
5/02	A	Archbishop Spalding	8-	12	-4	-5		0.54	0.63
									0.00	-5.86

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/14	A	McDonogh School	3-	13	0.00
10-goal correction: 0.00

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	85.		Natl CCR Rank	121
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	84.63		Natl Power Rank	121
Natl SOS Rating	97.13		Natl SOS Rank	9
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.48		Natl Quality Win Rank	1878
W-L Pct Rating	0.27		W-L Pct Rank	1566
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	4-11		Ave Goal diff (all )	-3.7
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-6		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-6.5
Wins/Losses (top 10)	1-10		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-5.2
Wins/Losses (top 20)	2-10		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-4.5
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-5.7


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