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Nat'l CCR Nat'l Poll Computer Rating Strength of Schedule Nat'l Quality Wins W-L Pct

Conference Standings Games/Scores Upsets Accuracy

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Mercersburg Academy Blue Storm (9-5)

Region: PA IndepState: PACoach: Stephanie Bacon

DateOpponentConferencePRTop 10Score QWF
3/27at Central Dauphin East (8-11)PA Mid PA70.8W22- 1 0.000  
3/29at Lancaster CDS, PA (1-10)PA Indep70.4W20- 2 0.000  
4/05LAWRENCEVILLE SCHOOL (4-11)NJ Indep74.7W7- 5 0.075  
4/08at Cumberland Valley (13-6)PA Mid PA77.58W18-12 0.125  
4/12at Hill School (7-7)PA Indep79.0L8-13 -0.250  
4/16at St. James School (9-7)DC Indep74.0W19-13 0.125  
4/17CENTRAL DAUPHIN (7-12)PA Mid PA72.0W11- 3 0.000  
4/19at Peddie School (14-2)NJ Indep84.6L9-16 -0.125  
4/23at Highland School (10-5)VA Indep72.2W16- 8 0.075  
4/26at Hun School (12-5)NJ Indep81.5L5-14 -0.200  
5/03BROAD RUN (15-5)VA NW AA79.9W11-10 0.200  
5/04at Wyoming Seminary, PA (10-3)PA Indep77.5L9-15 -0.300  
5/07SIDWELL FRIENDS (15-5)DC ISL AA80.6L13-14 -0.275  
5/10BLAIR ACADEMY, NJ (1-11)NJ Indep62.4W16- 5 0.000  
 75.5     -0.55  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/27ACentral Dauphin East22-121   18       +0.74       3.34
3/29ALancaster CDS, PA20-218   15       +0.74       2.54
4/05HLawrenceville School7-52   7       ––-1.28       -5.21
4/08ACumberland Valley18-126   5       0.74       1.33
4/12AHill School8-13-5   0       ––1.20       -5.42
4/16ASt. James School19-136   5       1.40       0.74
4/17HCentral Dauphin11-38   15       –––-0.74       -7.20
4/19APeddie School9-16-7   -5       1.28       -1.81
4/23AHighland School16-88   7       1.51       1.06
4/26AHun School5-14-9   -2       –––1.28       -6.91
5/03HBroad Run11-101   2       -1.51       -1.30
5/04AWyoming Seminary, PA9-15-6   2       –––1.20       -7.90
5/07HSidwell Friends13-14-1   1       –-1.40       -2.39
5/10HBlair Academy, NJ16-511   20       –––-1.28       -8.56
         0.00-37.71

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/27ACentral Dauphin East22-1-3.34
3/29ALancaster CDS, PA20-2-2.54
5/10HBlair Academy, NJ16-58.56
10-goal correction: 0.19

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 81.   Natl CCR Rank 250
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 80.65   Natl Power Rank 250
Natl SOS Rating 68.69   Natl SOS Rank 502
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.55   Natl Quality Win Rank 1998
W-L Pct Rating 0.64   W-L Pct Rank 631
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 9-5   Ave Goal diff (all ) 3.8
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-0   Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10) 1-0   Ave Goal diff (top 10) 6.0
Wins/Losses (top 20) 4-0   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 13.2
Wins/Losses (last 3) 1-2   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 1.3

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