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Methacton Warriors (7-9)

Region: PA Sub C

State: PA

Coach: Ginger Flocco

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/26	SPRING-FORD (13-7)	PA PAC	85.4		L	4-	17		-0.050
3/28	LANSDALE CATHOLIC (2-13)	PA PAC	75.1		W	15-	4		0.025
3/31	at Council Rock South (17-4)	PA Sub C	83.8		L	8-	12		-0.075
4/03	SOUDERTON AREA (16-4)	PA Sub C	85.1		L	4-	10		-0.100
4/07	at Central Bucks East (3-12)	PA Sub C	77.7		W	12-	11	ot	0.325
4/09	at Norristown Area (0-12)	PA Sub C	71.8		W	13-	5		0.025
4/11	at Cheltenham (12-8)	PA Sub A	82.4		L	12-	17		-0.075
4/15	HATBORO-HORSHAM (6-11)	PA Sub C	77.5		W	13-	11		0.225
4/17	at Central Bucks West (9-11)	PA Sub C	79.4		L	4-	10		-0.175
4/22	COUNCIL ROCK SOUTH (17-4)	PA Sub C	83.8		L	1-	9		-0.150
4/24	at Souderton Area (16-4)	PA Sub C	85.1		L	9-	15		-0.025
4/29	CENTRAL BUCKS EAST (3-12)	PA Sub C	77.7		W	11-	8		0.250
5/02	NORRISTOWN AREA (0-12)	PA Sub C	71.8		W	14-	3		0.000
5/05	PERKIOMEN VALLEY (9-6)	PA PAC	83.0		L	6-	15		-0.125
5/08	at Hatboro-Horsham (6-11)	PA Sub C	77.5		W	14-	13		0.300
5/12	CENTRAL BUCKS WEST (9-11)	PA Sub C	79.4		L	13-	16		-0.250
			72.6						0.12

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/26	H	Spring-Ford	4-	17	-13	-8	––	-1.65	-5.05
3/28	H	Lansdale Catholic	15-	4	11	9	+	-1.65	2.05
3/31	A	Council Rock South	8-	12	-4	-7	+	1.65	2.81
4/03	H	Souderton Area	4-	10	-6	-6		-1.65	-0.29
4/07	A	Central Bucks East	12-	11	1	-3	++	1.65	4.37
4/09	A	Norristown Area	13-	5	8	9		1.65	-1.16
4/11	A	Cheltenham	12-	17	-5	-7	+	1.65	2.24
4/15	H	Hatboro-Horsham	13-	11	2	1		-1.65	1.12
4/17	A	Central Bucks West	4-	10	-6	-3	–	1.65	-2.64
4/22	H	Council Rock South	1-	9	-8	-4	––	-1.65	-4.50
4/24	A	Souderton Area	9-	15	-6	-9	+	1.65	3.02
4/29	H	Central Bucks East	11-	8	3	0	+	-1.65	3.07
5/02	H	Norristown Area	14-	3	11	12		-1.65	-1.46
5/05	H	Perkiomen Valley	6-	15	-9	-5	––	-1.65	-4.04
5/08	A	Hatboro-Horsham	14-	13	1	-2	+	1.65	3.43
5/12	H	Central Bucks West	13-	16	-3	0	–	-1.65	-2.95
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/26	H	Spring-Ford	4-	17	3.00
3/28	H	Lansdale Catholic	15-	4	-1.00
5/02	H	Norristown Area	14-	3	1.46
10-goal correction: 0.22

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	78.		Natl CCR Rank	351
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	78.46		Natl Power Rank	351
Natl SOS Rating	63.61		Natl SOS Rank	866
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.12		Natl Quality Win Rank	857
W-L Pct Rating	0.44		W-L Pct Rank	1187
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	7-9		Ave Goal diff (all )	-1.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-13.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-3.7


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