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Middletown, MD Knights (11-4)

Region: MD 2A

State: MD

Coach: Bob Cosgray

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/25	at Linganore (6-7)	MD 3A	75.7		W	15-	8		0.225
3/27	BRUNSWICK, MD (4-9)	MD 1A	69.8		W	16-	2		0.000
4/01	at Thomas Johnson (6-7)	MD 4A	75.5		W	14-	13		0.200
4/03	WINTERS MILL (17-2)	MD 2A	89.1	7	L	8-	17		-0.050
4/08	SOUTH HAGERSTOWN (0-10)	MD 2A	53.4		W	20-	0		0.000
4/10	at Francis Scott Key (5-9)	MD 2A	74.0		W	15-	10		0.150
4/15	FREDERICK (2-10)	MD 3A	64.6		W	20-	4		0.000
4/21	at North Hagerstown (1-11)	MD 2A	60.0		W	20-	1		0.000
4/24	WALKERSVILLE (9-7)	MD 2A	78.8		L	5-	13		-0.200
5/01	TUSCARORA (3-11)	MD 1A	66.9		W	15-	1		0.000
5/05	at Urbana (9-6)	MD 3A	81.9		L	7-	13		-0.050
5/06	at Catoctin (3-10)	MD 1A	69.2		W	16-	5		0.025
5/10	FRANCIS SCOTT KEY (5-9)	MD 2A	74.0		W	15-	12		0.100
5/13	DAMASCUS (8-4)	MD 4A	76.0		W	14-	13		0.150
5/14	at Winters Mill (17-2)	MD 2A	89.1	7	L	10-	16		0.000
			71.7						0.55

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/25	A	Linganore	15-	8	7	1	++	0.99	5.52
3/27	H	Brunswick, MD	16-	2	14	10	+	-0.99	3.82
4/01	A	Thomas Johnson	14-	13	1	2		0.99	-1.02
4/03	H	Winters Mill	8-	17	-9	-8		-0.99	-0.79
4/08	H	South Hagerstown	20-	0	20	26	––	-0.99	-5.56
4/10	A	Francis Scott Key	15-	10	5	4		0.99	0.73
4/15	H	Frederick	20-	4	16	16		-0.99	0.48
4/21	A	North Hagerstown	20-	1	19	18		0.99	1.34
4/24	H	Walkersville	5-	13	-8	-2	–––	-0.99	-6.30
5/01	H	Tuscarora	15-	1	14	14		-0.99	0.30
5/05	A	Urbana	7-	13	-6	-8		0.99	1.54
5/06	A	Catoctin	16-	5	11	9	+	0.99	2.21
5/10	H	Francis Scott Key	15-	12	3	6	–	-0.99	-3.25
5/13	H	Damascus	14-	13	1	4	–	-0.99	-3.23
5/14	A	Winters Mill	10-	16	-6	-10	++	0.99	4.20
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/27	H	Brunswick, MD	16-	2	-3.82
4/08	H	South Hagerstown	20-	0	5.56
4/15	H	Frederick	20-	4	-0.48
4/21	A	North Hagerstown	20-	1	-1.34
5/01	H	Tuscarora	15-	1	-0.30
5/06	A	Catoctin	16-	5	-1.00
10-goal correction: -0.09

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	78.		Natl CCR Rank	358
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	78.47		Natl Power Rank	358
Natl SOS Rating	63.39		Natl SOS Rank	880
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.55		Natl Quality Win Rank	410
W-L Pct Rating	0.73		W-L Pct Rank	395
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	11-4		Ave Goal diff (all )	5.5
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-7.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-7.5
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-0.7


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