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Middlesex School (9-4)

Region: NE

State: MA

Coach: Natalie Soule

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/05	at St. Mark's, MA (4-11)	NE	73.1		W	13-	6		0.125
4/09	ST. PAUL'S SCHOOL, NH (4-10)	NE	74.0		W	7-	2		0.075
4/11	at Noble & Greenough (16-0)	NE	88.4	1	L	8-	13		-0.150
4/16	MILTON ACADEMY (4-13)	NE	72.1		L	8-	9		-0.475
4/19	at Thayer Academy (15-3)	NE	85.9	5	L	14-	15		-0.175
4/23	at Lawrence Academy (2-13)	NE	69.1		W	14-	4		0.000
4/25	at Rivers School (6-8)	NE	75.3		W	13-	7		0.100
4/30	TABOR ACADEMY (1-13)	NE	67.9		W	19-	5		0.000
5/03	GROTON SCHOOL (7-9)	NE	75.0		W	11-	4		0.050
5/05	GOVERNOR'S ACADEMY (11-4)	NE	83.3	7	W	9-	6		0.250
5/10	BUCKINGHAM, B & N (9-7)	NE	77.5		W	6-	4		0.125
5/14	at Brooks School (15-1)	NE	87.3	3	L	8-	9		-0.150
5/24	ST. GEORGE'S SCHOOL, R (13-4)	NE	81.4	10	W	19-	7		0.175
			81.2						-0.05

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/05	A	St. Mark's, MA	13-	6	7	5		1.05	1.59
4/09	H	St. Paul's School, NH	7-	2	5	7	–	-1.05	-2.28
4/11	A	Noble & Greenough	8-	13	-5	-4		1.05	-1.23
4/16	H	Milton Academy	8-	9	-1	9	–––	-1.05	-9.89
4/19	A	Thayer Academy	14-	15	-1	-3	+	1.05	2.35
4/23	A	Lawrence Academy	14-	4	10	11		1.05	-0.55
4/25	A	Rivers School	13-	7	6	6		1.05	0.29
4/30	H	Tabor Academy	19-	5	14	15		-1.05	-0.65
5/03	H	Groton School	11-	4	7	8		-1.05	-0.77
5/05	H	Governor's Academy	9-	6	3	0	+	-1.05	2.95
5/10	H	Buckingham, B & N	6-	4	2	5	–	-1.05	-3.42
5/14	A	Brooks School	8-	9	-1	-4	+	1.05	2.60
5/24	H	St. George's School, R	19-	7	12	3	+++	-1.05	9.00
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/23	A	Lawrence Academy	14-	4	0.55
4/30	H	Tabor Academy	19-	5	0.65
5/24	H	St. George's School, R	19-	7	-2.00
10-goal correction: -0.06

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	82.		Natl CCR Rank	189
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	82.52		Natl Power Rank	189
Natl SOS Rating	78.07		Natl SOS Rank	130
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.05		Natl Quality Win Rank	1206
W-L Pct Rating	0.69		W-L Pct Rank	490
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	9-4		Ave Goal diff (all )	4.5
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-2.3
Wins/Losses (top 10)	1-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-1.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	3-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	1.7
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	4.3


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