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Milton Academy Mustangs (4-13)

Region: NE

State: MA

Coach: C. J. Navins

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/27	vs. Denver East # (8-8)	CO Metro	77.6		L	9-	11		-0.125
3/28	vs. Potomac School # (14-6)	DC ISL A	87.4		L	6-	17		0.000
4/02	CONCORD ACADEMY, MA (2-7)	NE	63.0		W	15-	7		0.000
4/05	at Rivers School (6-8)	NE	75.3		L	5-	9		-0.200
4/09	at St. George's School, R (13-4)	NE	81.4	10	L	8-	16		-0.075
4/12	BROOKS SCHOOL (15-1)	NE	87.3	3	L	3-	16		-0.025
4/16	at Middlesex School (9-4)	NE	82.5	9	W	9-	8		0.475
4/18	TABOR ACADEMY (1-13)	NE	67.9		W	18-	6		0.075
4/19	at Phillips Exeter Acad (9-6)	NE	77.1		L	14-	17		-0.125
4/23	THAYER ACADEMY (15-3)	NE	85.9	5	L	6-	14		-0.025
4/26	LAWRENCE ACADEMY (2-13)	NE	69.1		W	14-	5		0.125
5/03	at Governor's Academy (11-4)	NE	83.3	7	L	6-	18		0.000
5/07	at Phillips Andover Acad (9-6)	NE	79.4		L	8-	16		-0.125
5/09	DANA HALL SCHOOL (5-8)	NE	69.6			-
5/10	ST. MARK'S, MA (4-11)	NE	73.1		L	15-	16	2ot	-0.250
5/14	at St. Paul's School, NH (4-10)	NE	74.0		L	6-	12		-0.175
5/16	BUCKINGHAM, B & N (9-7)	NE	77.5		L	8-	13		-0.200
5/21	at Groton School (7-9)	NE	75.0			-
5/23	NOBLE & GREENOUGH (16-0)	NE	88.4	1	L	5-	14		0.000
# Neutral site			80.3						-0.65

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/27	N	Denver East	9-	11	-2	-5	+	0.00		3.44
3/28	N	Potomac School	6-	17	-11	-15	++	0.00		4.29
4/02	H	Concord Academy, MA	15-	7	8	13	––	-1.05	-4.56
4/05	A	Rivers School	5-	9	-4	-2		1.05	-1.87
4/09	A	St. George's School, R	8-	16	-8	-7		1.05	-1.06
4/12	H	Brooks School	3-	16	-13	-9	–	-1.05	-3.65
4/16	A	Middlesex School	9-	8	1	-9	+++	1.05	9.89
4/18	H	Tabor Academy	18-	6	12	7	++	-1.05	5.19
4/19	A	Phillips Exeter Acad	14-	17	-3	-5		1.05	1.57
4/23	H	Thayer Academy	6-	14	-8	-9		-1.05	1.09
4/26	H	Lawrence Academy	14-	5	9	5	++	-1.05	4.20
5/03	A	Governor's Academy	6-	18	-12	-10	–	1.05	-2.12
5/07	A	Phillips Andover Acad	8-	16	-8	-5	–	1.05	-2.60
5/10	H	St. Mark's, MA	15-	16	-1	0		-1.05	-0.67
5/14	A	St. Paul's School, NH	6-	12	-6	-3	–	1.05	-3.35
5/16	H	Buckingham, B & N	8-	13	-5	-2	–	-1.05	-2.58
5/23	H	Noble & Greenough	5-	14	-9	-10		-1.05	0.52
									0.00	7.73

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/28	N	Potomac School	6-	17	-4.29
4/12	H	Brooks School	3-	16	3.00
4/18	H	Tabor Academy	18-	6	-2.00
5/03	A	Governor's Academy	6-	18	2.00
10-goal correction: -0.08

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	72.		Natl CCR Rank	836
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	72.15		Natl Power Rank	836
Natl SOS Rating	76.65		Natl SOS Rank	178
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.65		Natl Quality Win Rank	2017
W-L Pct Rating	0.24		W-L Pct Rank	1632
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	4-13		Ave Goal diff (all )	-3.5
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-10.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	1-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-8.2
Wins/Losses (top 20)	1-8		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-7.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-6.7


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