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Millbrook School Mustangs (8-7)

Region: NE

State: NY

Coach: Liz Duhoski

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/02	at Hopkins School, CT (9-8)	NE	72.1		L	11-	12	ot	-0.325
4/05	at Deerfield Academy, MA (11-3)	NE	83.1	8	L	4-	15		-0.075
4/07	at Hotchkiss School (11-3)	NE	85.0	6	L	6-	15		0.000
4/09	SUFFIELD ACADEMY (12-4)	NE	78.0		W	12-	11		0.275
4/12	GREENWICH ACADEMY (21-3)	NE	86.9	4	L	5-	17		-0.075
4/19	WILLISTON NORTHAMPTON (12-0)	NE	81.1		L	7-	9		-0.200
4/23	at Canterbury School (3-12)	NE	67.5		W	16-	3		0.075
4/26	at Gunnery (5-10)	NE	68.4		W	13-	4		0.100
4/30	at Greens Farms Academy (1-12)	NE	62.1		W	18-	6		0.000
5/03	at Kingswood-Oxford (7-12)	NE	69.6		W	11-	6		0.150
5/07	at Convent-Sacred Heart, (8-6)	NE	76.4		L	7-	13		-0.225
5/10	RYE COUNTRY DAY (7-7)	NE	71.0		W	17-	11		0.150
5/12	BERKSHIRE SCHOOL (8-6)	NE	77.4		W	9-	8		0.275
5/14	at Kent School (9-6)	NE	75.5		L	7-	10		-0.225
5/17	WESTOVER SCHOOL (7-10)	NE	65.4		W	17-	5		0.000
5/21	MISS PORTER'S SCHOOL (3-12)	NE	68.1			-
			77.2						-0.10

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/02	A	Hopkins School, CT	11-	12	-1	3	–	1.05	-3.94
4/05	A	Deerfield Academy, MA	4-	15	-11	-7	–	1.05	-3.93
4/07	A	Hotchkiss School	6-	15	-9	-10		1.05	1.23
4/09	H	Suffield Academy	12-	11	1	-1	+	-1.05	2.08
4/12	H	Greenwich Academy	5-	17	-12	-7	––	-1.05	-4.58
4/19	H	Williston Northampton	7-	9	-2	-2		-1.05	0.27
4/23	A	Canterbury School	16-	3	13	7	++	1.05	5.89
4/26	A	Gunnery	13-	4	9	6	+	1.05	3.22
4/30	A	Greens Farms Academy	18-	6	12	10		1.05	1.63
5/03	A	Kingswood-Oxford	11-	6	5	4		1.05	1.41
5/07	A	Convent-Sacred Heart,	7-	13	-6	-1	––	1.05	-4.69
5/10	H	Rye Country Day	17-	11	6	4		-1.05	1.52
5/12	H	Berkshire School	9-	8	1	-1	+	-1.05	2.08
5/14	A	Kent School	7-	10	-3	-1		1.05	-1.79
5/17	H	Westover School	17-	5	12	12		-1.05	-0.40
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/05	A	Deerfield Academy, MA	4-	15	1.00
4/12	H	Greenwich Academy	5-	17	2.00
4/23	A	Canterbury School	16-	3	-3.00
4/30	A	Greens Farms Academy	18-	6	-1.63
5/17	H	Westover School	17-	5	0.40
10-goal correction: -0.08

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	75.		Natl CCR Rank	600
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	74.86		Natl Power Rank	600
Natl SOS Rating	71.16		Natl SOS Rank	374
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.10		Natl Quality Win Rank	1283
W-L Pct Rating	0.53		W-L Pct Rank	919
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	8-7		Ave Goal diff (all )	1.0
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-12.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-8.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	2-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-5.3
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	3.3


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