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Mt. Notre Dame, OH Cougars (5-12)

Region: OH S-D1

State: OH

Coach: Stu Newman

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/15	vs. Hilliard Darby # (1-13)	OH C-D1	68.9		W	7-	2		0.175
4/01	at Seton (15-5)	OH S-D2	72.1		L	7-	12		-0.275
4/03	MASON, OH (12-7)	OH S-D1	77.4		L	5-	15		-0.075
4/05	vs. New Trier # (24-3)	IL C Sub	91.7		L	1-	16		0.000
4/08	at Lakota West (14-5)	OH S-D2	74.7		L	11-	16		-0.200
4/10	URSULINE ACADEMY, OH (9-6)	OH S-D1	74.8		L	8-	9		-0.150
4/12	vs. Dublin Coffman # (6-7)	OH C-D1	75.1		L	4-	5		-0.125
4/12	vs. Worthington Kilbourne # (15-5)	OH C-D1	79.3	9	L	4-	11		-0.050
4/15	at St. Ursula, Cincinatti (8-11)	OH S-D1	71.5		L	9-	11		-0.225
4/17	at Summit Country Day (13-5)	OH S-D2	74.2		L	9-	13		-0.175
4/19	MOTHER OF MERCY (3-10)	OH S-D2	66.4		W	17-	6		0.075
4/22	at McAuley, OH (6-11)	OH S-D2	67.6		W	13-	6		0.125
4/29	SYCAMORE (19-2)	OH S-D1	85.0	2	L	3-	21		0.000
5/02	at Indian Hill, OH (2-15)	OH S-D1	66.6		W	11-	10		0.100
5/07	at Mariemont (7-6)	OH S-D1	75.1		L	13-	20		-0.150
5/10	INDIAN HILL, OH (2-15)	OH S-D1	66.6		W	17-	1		0.050
5/12	at Sycamore (19-2)	OH S-D1	85.0	2	L	3-	20		0.000
# Neutral site			72.9						-0.90

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/15	N	Hilliard Darby	7-	2	5	3	+	0.00	2.42
4/01	A	Seton	7-	12	-5	1	–––	0.76	-6.24
4/03	H	Mason, OH	5-	15	-10	-7	–	-0.76	-3.15
4/05	N	New Trier	1-	16	-15	-21	++	0.00		5.84
4/08	A	Lakota West	11-	16	-5	-2	–	0.76	-2.80
4/10	H	Ursuline Academy, OH	8-	9	-1	-4	+	-0.76	2.58
4/12	N	Dublin Coffman	4-	5	-1	-5	++	0.00	4.47
4/12	N	Worthington Kilbourne	4-	11	-7	-8		0.00	1.35
4/15	A	St. Ursula, Cincinatti	9-	11	-2	-1		0.76	-0.56
4/17	A	Summit Country Day	9-	13	-4	-3		0.76	-1.04
4/19	H	Mother of Mercy	17-	6	11	7	+	-0.76	3.50
4/22	A	McAuley, OH	13-	6	7	5		0.76	1.88
4/29	H	Sycamore	3-	21	-18	-15	–	-0.76	-2.75
5/02	A	Indian Hill, OH	11-	10	1	6	––	0.76	-5.10
5/07	A	Mariemont	13-	20	-7	-4	–	0.76	-2.72
5/10	H	Indian Hill, OH	17-	1	16	8	+++	-0.76	8.38
5/12	A	Sycamore	3-	20	-17	-17		0.76	-0.23
									0.00	5.84

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/03	H	Mason, OH	5-	15	0.00
4/05	N	New Trier	1-	16	-5.84
4/19	H	Mother of Mercy	17-	6	-1.00
4/29	H	Sycamore	3-	21	2.75
5/10	H	Indian Hill, OH	17-	1	-6.00
5/12	A	Sycamore	3-	20	0.23
10-goal correction: -0.58

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	71.		Natl CCR Rank	931
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	70.86		Natl Power Rank	931
Natl SOS Rating	64.74		Natl SOS Rank	769
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.90		Natl Quality Win Rank	2195
W-L Pct Rating	0.29		W-L Pct Rank	1512
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	5-12		Ave Goal diff (all )	-3.1
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-17.5
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-14.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-8		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-8.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-2.7


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