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Morse Shipbuilders (7-6)

Region: ME B East

State: ME

Coach: Linda Levesque

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/23	at Lewiston (7-5)	ME A East	63.7		L	2-	18		-0.225
4/26	MOUNTAIN VALLEY (0-3)	ME B East	54.0		W	13-	1		0.000
4/30	at Brunswick, ME (15-1)	ME A East	76.0	3	L	4-	16		0.000
5/02	at Messalonskee (1-6)	ME A East	57.6		W	7-	2		0.175
5/10	EDWARD LITTLE (0-4)	ME A East	55.2		W	17-	6		0.025
5/13	LINCOLN ACADEMY, ME (0-5)	ME B East	49.3		W	18-	1		0.000
5/15	at Oxford Hills (4-5)	ME A East	62.5		L	11-	14		-0.225
5/19	at Mt. Ararat (9-4)	ME A East	65.7		L	9-	10		-0.175
5/21	BRUNSWICK, ME (15-1)	ME A East	76.0	3	L	7-	14		-0.075
5/28	at Cony (2-5)	ME Indep	58.2		W	14-	7		0.175
5/30	CAMDEN HILLS (0-4)	ME B East	52.9		W	16-	1		0.000
6/04	LEWISTON (7-5)	ME A East	63.7		W	13-	3		0.200
6/12	at Yarmouth (9-7)	ME B East	72.1	6	L	4-	17		-0.050
			67.5						-0.17

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/23	A	Lewiston	2-	18	-16	-1	–––	1.39	14.79
4/26	H	Mountain Valley	13-	1	12	10		-1.39	1.79
4/30	A	Brunswick, ME	4-	16	-12	-10		1.39	-1.83
5/02	A	Messalonskee	7-	2	5	3		1.39	1.53
5/10	H	Edward Little	17-	6	11	9		-1.39	1.60
5/13	H	Lincoln Academy, ME	18-	1	17	16		-1.39	1.10
5/15	A	Oxford Hills	11-	14	-3	-1		1.39	-1.68
5/19	A	Mt. Ararat	9-	10	-1	-3		1.39	1.76
5/21	H	Brunswick, ME	7-	14	-7	-7		-1.39	0.38
5/28	A	Cony	14-	7	7	3	+	1.39	3.87
5/30	H	Camden Hills	16-	1	15	12	+	-1.39	2.63
6/04	H	Lewiston	13-	3	10	2	+++	-1.39	8.43
6/12	A	Yarmouth	4-	17	-13	-8	––	1.39	-4.78
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/23	A	Lewiston	2-	18	6.00
4/26	H	Mountain Valley	13-	1	-1.79
4/30	A	Brunswick, ME	4-	16	2.00
5/10	H	Edward Little	17-	6	-1.00
5/13	H	Lincoln Academy, ME	18-	1	-1.10
5/30	H	Camden Hills	16-	1	-2.63
6/04	H	Lewiston	13-	3	0.00
6/12	A	Yarmouth	4-	17	3.00
10-goal correction: 0.34

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	63.		Natl CCR Rank	1541
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	63.87		Natl Power Rank	1541
Natl SOS Rating	56.05		Natl SOS Rank	1431
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.17		Natl Quality Win Rank	1414
W-L Pct Rating	0.54		W-L Pct Rank	890
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	7-6		Ave Goal diff (all )	1.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-9.5
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-10.7
Wins/Losses (top 20)	1-6		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-6.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	4.0


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